Scientific African 20 (2023) e01635
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Scientific African
journal homepage: www.elsevier.com/locate/sciaf
Analysis of rainfall and temperature variability for agricultural
water management in the upper Genale river basin, Ethiopia
Mehari Shigute
a,b
, Tena Alamirew
a,c
, Adane Abebe
d
,
Christopher E. Ndehedehe
e,f,∗
, Habtamu Tilahun Kassahun
e
a
Ethiopian Institute of Water Resources (EIWR), Addis Ababa University, Addis Ababa, P. O. Box 150461, Ethiopia
b
Natural Resource Management, Dilla University, Dilla, P. O. Box 419, Ethiopia
c
Water and Land Resource Center (WLRC), Addis Ababa University, Addis Ababa, P. O. Box 3880, Ethiopia
d
Arba Minch Water Technology Institute, Arba Minch University, Arba Minch, P. O. Box 21, Ethiopia
e
Australian Rivers Institute, Griffith University, Nathan, QLD 4111, Australia
f
Griffith School of Environment & Science, Griffith University, Nathan, QLD 4111, Australia
a r t i c l e i n f o
Article history:
Received 17 May 2022
Revised 17 November 2022
Accepted 7 March 2023
Editor: DR B Gyampoh
Keywords:
Upper Genale river basin
Rainfall and temperature trend
Rainfall variability
Mann-Kendall trend test
a b s t r a c t
A better understanding of climate-induced changes and support for adaptation strategies
requires knowledged of the spatiotemporal dynamics of climatic variables. This study aims
to assess long-term changes in annual and seasonal rainfall and temperature for agricul-
tural water management in the upper Genale river basin, Ethiopia. To achieve this objec-
tive, long-term climate data from 13 stations between 1975 and 2018, as well as maxi-
mum and minimum temperatures for six stations were collected from the Ethiopian Na-
tional Meteorological Service Agency (NMA). The characteristics of rainfall (onset, cessa-
tion, length of growing season, and crop water requirement) were assessed using the Coef-
ficient of Variation (CV), Standard Rainfall Anomaly (SRA), and Precipitation Concentration
Index (PCI). Additionally, the Mann–Kendall test and Sen’s slope estimator were used to as-
sess the trend and magnitude of changes in rainfall and temperature. The annual, winter,
spring, summer and autumn CVs were 20%, 89%, 30%, 45%, and 32%, respectively. The stan-
dardized anomalies of annual and seasonal rainfall for the climate stations indicated that
the basin had a drier season than a wet season. The mean length of the growing season in
Belg and Kiremt ranged from 43 to 79 days and 38 to 170 days, respectively. On an annual,
summer, and autumn season basis, most rainfall stations showed a non-significant trend.
In contrast, in the spring season, rainfall showed a decreasing but statistically insignifi-
cant trend in all stations except Bensadaye, Bore, Telamokentise, and Yirba Muda stations.
According to the analysis of the crop water requirements in the studied basin, supplemen-
tal irrigation is essential to reducing yield reduction and crop failure during spring and
autumn. In these seasons, maize and sorghum varieties required supplementary irrigation
up to 202 mm and 252 mm, respectively. Annual and seasonal maximum and minimum
temperatures showed an increasing trend at all the stations except Hagre Selam station.
Generally, there was a spatially and temporally variable trend in rainfall while the temper-
ature trend was increasing irrespective of the temporal and spatial factors. Thus, this study
∗
Corresponding author at: Australian Rivers Institute and School of Environment & Science, Griffith University, Nathan, QLD 4111, Australia.
E-mail address: c.ndehedehe@griffith.edu.au (C.E. Ndehedehe).
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.sciaf.2023.e01635
2468-2276/© 2023 The Author(s). Published by Elsevier B.V. on behalf of African Institute of Mathematical Sciences / Next Einstein Initiative. This is an
open access article under the CC BY license (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/)