PM World Journal Facing Project Cost Exposure during
Vol. III, Issue IX – September 2014 Front End Loading (FEL) Implementation
www.pmworldjournal.net Featured Paper Trian Hendro Asmoro
© 2014 Trian Hendro Asmoro www.pmworldlibrary.net Page 1 of 7
Facing Project Cost Exposure during
Front End Loading (FEL) Implementation
Trian Hendro Asmoro, CCP, PMP
Abstract
The planning of a project is the most critical phase, since all project definitions and requirements should be
completed in this phase. Of all project variables, cost is the most sensitive one especially for project that
has a limited range of return on investment. Thus, the project cost and planning team has to have a better
planning process as well as incorporating the external commercial factors in the project cost.
Meanwhile, Front End Loading (FEL) stages used to evaluate a completed project have limitations in
observing the project cost. The cost estimation level is developed and improved in accordance with three
FEL stages; Appraise (FEL1), Select (FEL2) and Define (FEL3), prior to the execution phase. Although the
actual cost will be realized after execution, the projective project cost needs to be confirmed at the end of
FEL 3.
This paper concludes that the characteristics of cost exposure during the planning of an oil and gas project
in the FEL stages must be identified and understood by the company. The company is therefore able to
foresee the project risk, particularly regarding the project cost.
Keywords: Front End Loading (FEL), Project Planning, Project Cost.
1. Introduction
Project cost overrun has become a major issue for project management practices in recent years.
Research related to project performance has shown that some negative indicators have arisen when
projects are being executed. According to a 2009 survey conducted by Price Waterhouse Coopers
(Westney 2012), the number of major projects that could be defined as successful was only 2.5%, an
astonishingly low number. In 2009 the Standish group reported average cost overruns of 89% on 8300 IT
projects, while research by US Census Bureau project in 2009 revealed average cost overruns of 80%
(Halligan, 2012).
The data above indicate significant problems during the project planning phase. An improved approach and
analysis in planning a megaproject has therefore been implemented. Front End Loading (FEL) and similar
systems have become a valuable method adopted by many oil and gas companies to execute their
megaprojects.
2. Front End Loading (FEL) Practices
Given the high capital requirements for oil and gas and associated process industries, most owner
companies have adopted a formal, stage-gated process to develop business ideas into working capital
assets and plants (Ogilvie, 2012). Figure 1 depicts a generic project life cycle, front-end loading, and
decision gate consisting of initiate, select, define, execute and operate. At the end of each stage, decision