Book Review
Review of Advances in Data-Based
Approaches for Hydrologic Modeling and
Forecasting by B. Sivakumar and
R. Berndtsson
World Scientific Publishing, Hackensack, NJ; 2010; Price: $122;
ISBN 13-978-981-4307-97-0; 519 pp.
Vijay P. Singh, F.ASCE
Caroline and William N. Lehrer Distinguished Chair in Water Engineering,
Professor of Civil and Environmental Engineering, and Professor of Bio-
logical and Agricultural Engineering, Dept. of Biological and Agricultural
Engineering, Texas A&M Univ., Scoates Hall, 2117 TAMU, College Sta-
tion, TX 77843-2117. E-mail: vsingh@tamu.edu
In the preface the authors write, “…there has been, in recent years,
an exponential increase in the number of scientific approaches and
their applications for hydrologic modeling and forecasting. Among
these, the so-called ‘data-based’ or ‘data-driven’ approaches have
become particularly popular…none of the existing books, it is fair
to say, is adequate enough to learn about the overall progress and
the state-of-the-art of data-based approaches in hydrologic model-
ing and forecasting…an attempt is made in this book to present a
comprehensive account of the advances in data-based approaches
for modeling and forecasting hydrologic systems and processes. ”
This book responds to the need expressed in the preface, providing
a clear and balanced treatment of some of the major data-based
approaches, encompassing 10 chapters written by hydrologists
and water resources engineers who are well known for their con-
tributions. Providing the background and organization of the book,
Chapter 1, written by B. Sivakumar and R. Berndtsson, sets the
stage for what is to come in the ensuing chapters.
Stochastic methods for modeling precipitation and streamflow,
written by B. Rajagopalan, J. D. Salas, and U. Lall, constitute the
subject matter of Chapter 2. In the stochastic simulation of precipi-
tation, the writers discuss continuous precipitation models; models
of cumulative precipitation over nonoverlapping time intervals, in-
cluding Markov chain models, alternating renewal models, and
models for precipitation amount; nonparametric models for simu-
lating precipitation, including kernel density estimators and kernel-
near-neighbor models; and precipitation disaggregation models.
Stochastic streamflow simulation comprises continuous time to
hourly simulation; weekly, monthly, and seasonal streamflow sim-
ulation at a single site; annual streamflow at single site; monthly
streamflow simulation; temporal and spatial disaggregation mod-
els; nonparametric streamflow simulation models for both single
sites and multiple sites; and extensions of the kernel-near-neighbor
resampling approach. The treatment is lucid and comprehensive.
Written by K. K. Yilmaz, J. Vrugt, H. V. Gupta, and S. Sorooshian,
Chapter 3 is devoted to model calibration in watershed hydrology.
Beginning with a discussion of approaches to parameter estima-
tion for watershed models, including an overview of the manual
calibration approach and automated calibration approaches, the
chapter goes on to discuss single criterion automated calibra-
tion methods; the shuffled complex evolution, the University of
Arizona approach; multicriteria calibration methods, including si-
multaneous multicriteria calibration, stepwise multicriteria calibra-
tion, and the multicriteria constraining approach; automated
calibration of spatially distributed watershed models; treatment
of parameter uncertainty, including the random walk metropolis
algorithm, differential evolution adaptive metropolis, and sequen-
tial data assimilation; and parallel computing. It is a well-written
chapter providing an up-to-date account of model calibration.
The subject matter of Chapter 4 is scaling and fractals in hydrol-
ogy, written by D. Veneziano and A. Langusis. Introducing the
concepts of fractality and scale invariance, the chapter goes on
to discuss fractal and scale-invariant sets, including fractal sets and
fractal dimensions and scale-invariant sets and their dimensions;
scale invariance for random processes comprising self-similar
processes, scalar multifractal processes, and multifractal fields
and vector-valued processes; generation of scale-invariant random
processes entailing the relationship between scale-invariant and
stationary processes, scale-invariant processes as renormaliza-
tion limits, and scale invariant processes as weighted sums and
products, scale-invariant processes from fractional integration of
alpha-stable measures, and processes with limited scale invariance;
properties of scale-invariant processes, including H-sssi processes,
moment scaling of multifractal processes, existence, moments, and
distributions of stationary multifractal measures, and extremes of
stationary mulifractal measures and origin of multifractality; fore-
casting and downscaling of stationary multifractal measures involv-
ing forecasting and downscaling; methods of inference of scaling
from data; selected applications in hydrology, with particular focus
on rainfall, fluvial topography, floods, and flow through porous me-
dia. The treatment in the chapter is comprehensive, up-to-date, well
presented, and balanced.
Remote sensing for precipitation and hydrologic applications
are covered in Chapter 5, written by E. N. Anagnostou. Beginning
with a discussion of prediction accuracy and surface modeling, the
chapter covers precipitation nowcasting from sparse-based plat-
forms; data uses in precipitation forecasting; and data uses in
hydrology comprising soil moisture, flood forecasting, and water
management; and concludes with an outlook on the future. This is a
short but nicely written chapter.
Chapter 6, by R. J. Abrahart, M. See, C. W. Dawson, A. Y.
Shamseldin, and R. L. Wilby, presents nearly two decades of neural
network (NN) hydrologic modeling. Providing a short history of
neural networking, the chapter discusses the spread of the field
of NN modeling within hydrologic sciences; establishing the field;
enlarging the field including traditional regression-type applica-
tions, merging of technologies, modular and ensemble modeling,
and neuro-hybrid modeling; taking steps to deliver goods, compris-
ing building collective intelligence, deciphering of internal compo-
nents, and estimating confidence and uncertainty; evaluating the
field by asking a series of questions: (1) can NN be made to reveal
any physics? (2) Can an optimal training set be identified? (3) Can
NN improve on time series analysis? (4) Can NN training be made
more adaptive? (5) Are NN good extrapolators? The chapter con-
cludes with final thoughts on searching for a killer App. The chap-
ter is a well-developed joy to read.
Evolutionary computing in hydrology is presented in Chapter 7,
written by V. Babovic and R. Rao. Beginning with a discussion
of systems and processes, it goes on to discuss evolutionary com-
puting comprising evolution principle, evolutionary computing in
hydrology; genetic algorithm and its scope in hydrology, entailing
modeling the observations, modeling the error, and modeling the
model; and issues pertaining to genetic computing, such as selection
of data sets, EC setting, model structure, and defect of noise. The
chapter is short but to the point.
966 / JOURNAL OF HYDROLOGIC ENGINEERING © ASCE / NOVEMBER 2011
J. Hydrol. Eng., 2011, 16(11): 966-967
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