Central Asian Journal of Water Research (2019) 5(2): 44-63
© The Author(s) 2019.
ISSN: 2522-9060
Published by Kazakh-German University, Almaty / Kazakhstan
Vanishing high-mountain ice causing hydrological challenges at global to
local scales: An overview with notes on Central Asia
Wilfried Haeberli
Geography Department, University of Zurich, Switzerland
Email: wilfried.haeberli@geo.uzh.ch
Received: 22 February 2019; Received in revised form: 21 November 2019; Accepted: 07 December 2019;
Published online: 10 December 2019.
doi: 10.29258/CAJWR/2019-R1.v5-2/44-63eng
Abstract
Glaciers and permafrost react strongly to atmospheric temperature rise. As a consequence, icy mid-latitude high-
mountain environments including mountain ranges in Central Asia undergo rapid changes. Continuation of these
changes must at least in part be considered unavoidable and the resulting impacts on the water cycle will be
irreversible for generations to come. Primary hydrological challenges relate to sea level rise at global scale, to
water supply from river discharge at continental to regional scale, and to the formation of new lakes with related
options concerning hydropower, water resources or tourism and with their risks related to impact and flood
waves at regional to local scales. International scientific cooperation, the use of new observational technologies
and of enhanced modelling capacities together with comprehensive system analyses can form the knowledge
basis for participative planning and the search for integrative solutions in adaptation strategies. Slowing down
global warming by reducing greenhouse gas emissions will help assuring the necessary time for this difficult
task. The present contribution is based on a keynote presentation at the 2018 International Symposium on Water
and Land Resources in Central Asia (CAWa). It reviews the current international literature on the topic in view
of developing the necessary knowledge basis, including aspects related to Central Asia.
Keywords: glaciers, permafrost, water resources, climate change, high mountains
Paper type: Literature review
1. Introduction
The largest perennial ice masses in high mountains exist in the form of surface ice (glaciers)
and subsurface ice (permafrost). These ice masses are exposed to rapid global warming at a
rate, which in high mountains is considerably faster than the global mean (elevation dependent
warming) (MRI 2015). Continuation of such atmospheric temperature rise causes both ice
components to reduce and even to vanish in many places and over extended periods of time.
As these ice masses are part of the water cycle, their shrinking and potential disappearance has
hydrological consequences far beyond high mountains. Understanding, anticipating and
dealing with such hydrological consequences constitutes scientific as well as political and