European Journal of Endocrinology
www.eje-online.org © 2017 European Society of Endocrinology
Printed in Great Britain
Published by Bioscientifica Ltd.
DOI: 10.1530/EJE-16-0708
Elevated TSH in adults treated for
hypothyroidism is associated with
increased mortality
Amit Akirov
1,2
, Hannah Gimbel
2
, Alon Grossman
2,3
, Tzipora Shochat
4
and
Ilan Shimon
1,2
1
Institute of Endocrinology, Rabin Medical Center-Beilinson Hospital, Petah Tikva, Israel,
2
Sackler School
of Medicine, Tel Aviv University, Tel Aviv, Israel,
3
Internal Medicine E, and
4
Statistical Consulting Unit,
Rabin Medical Center-Beilinson Hospital, Petah Tikva, Israel
Abstract
Context: Numerous studies investigated the link between hypothyroidism and mortality, but a defnite conclusion is
hard to reach as these were limited by a number of factors, including age of participants, comorbidities and single
measurement of thyroid function.
Objective: To evaluate the association between TSH and fT4 levels and mortality in patients with levothyroxine-
treated hypothyroidism.
Design and setting: Observational data of hospitalized patients (2011–2014). TSH and fT4 levels obtained between
at least 30 days after discharge and until death or end of follow-up were collected. Median TSH and fT4 levels were
stratifed into categories.
Patients: In total, 611 patients with treated hypothyroidism, aged 60–80 years (72% females, mean age 71 ± 6 years)
were included in the study.
Main outcome measure: All-cause mortality up to 66 months after discharge, by TSH and fT4 categories.
Results: During follow-up, the average numbers of TSH and fT4 measurements were 5.5 ± 3.8 and 2.5 ± 4.2 per
patient respectively. Mortality rates were 28%, 29% and 54% with median TSH of 0.5–2.5, 2.5–5.0 and 5.0–10.0 IU/L
respectively. Adjusted hazard ratios for mortality with median TSH between 5.0 and 10.0 IU/L were 2.3 (95% CI:
1.6–3.4) and 2.2 (95% CI: 1.6–3.2) compared with patients with TSH between 0.5–2.5 IU/L and 2.5–5 IU/L respectively.
There was no difference in mortality between patients with median fT4 10–15 or 15–20 pmol/L.
Conclusion: In treated hypothyroid adult patients and serial measurements of thyroid function tests, median TSH levels
of 5–10 IU/L are associated with increased mortality with no effect of fT4 levels. Treatment should aim at achieving
euthyroidism to improve survival.
www.eje-online.org © 2017 European Society of Endocrinology
176:1 57–66 A Akirov and others Thyroid function and mortality
European Journal of
Endocrinology
(2017) 176, 57–66
Clinical Study
Correspondence
should be addressed
to A Akirov
Email
amit.akirov@gmail.com
Introduction
Thyroid function disorders are common in the
general population, and the prevalence of overt
hypothyroidism ranges between 1% and 7% (1, 2).
Although autoimmune thyroiditis is the most common
cause of hypothyroidism in elderly subjects, other
causes, such as drugs, neck radiotherapy, thyroidectomy
or radioiodine therapy are frequently observed in this
population (3). Previous studies in elderly patients have
suggested an association between thyroid dysfunction
and mortality (4, 5).
Numerous studies investigated the link between
subclinical and overt hypothyroidism and mortality, with
conficting results (4, 6, 7, 8, 9, 10, 11, 12, 13, 14, 15, 16, 17).
Waring et al. reported that a single measurement of thyroid-
stimulating hormone (TSH) and free T4 (fT4) did not predict
the mortality in older men (7). Iglesias et al. investigated
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