INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF URBAN AND REGIONAL RESEARCH
DOI:10.1111/1468-2427.12743
273
© 2019 Urban research PUblications limited
The authors would like to thank those who offered valuable comments on earlier drafts, including Gavin Shatkin,
Daniel Falzon, Sudeshna Mitra, Ben Wisner, James Connolly, Phil Brown, Laura Senier, Sharon Harlan, and the three
anonymous IJURR reviewers.
— RESILIENT GROWTH: Fantasy Plans and
Unplanned Developments in India’s Flood-Prone
Coastal Cities
Liza Weinstein, andreW rumbach and saumitra sinha
Abstract
Academic and policy literatures on urban climate resilience tend to emphasize
‘good planning’ as the primary means for addressing the growing risk of fooding in Asia’s
coastal megacities. Cities have come to rely on disaster and climate resilience plans to
future-proof their landscapes and protect vulnerable populations. Yet while data is collected,
models are built and plans are drafted, environmentally destructive development practices
continue unabated and often unchallenged. This article examines and seeks to explain
the contradictions between a growing awareness of the risks of climate-induced fooding
in resilience plans and the continuation of development practices widely acknowledged
to exacerbate those risks. It analyzes these contradictions in the context of Mumbai
and Kolkata, India’s largest coastal cities, which are facing the severest threats from
climate-induced fooding. Based on analyses of key resilience planning documents and both
planned and unplanned developments in some of Mumbai’s and Kolkata’s most ecologically
sensitive areas, our analysis reveals that resilience planning, promoted by the central
government and international consultants, and presented in locally produced ‘fantasy
plans’, fails to address the risks of climate-change-related fooding owing to tendencies
to sidestep questions of politics, power and the distributional conficts that shape urban
development. We conclude that eforts to reduce urban food risk would beneft from the
research, methods and analytic concepts used to critically study cities, but signifcant gaps
remain between these felds.
Introduction
In late April 2018, the Municipal Corporation of Greater Mumbai (MCGM)
released its much-awaited revisions to the city’s development plan, outlining the
priorities and regulatory frameworks to shape development in the city and region
through the year 2034. The plan’s main priority, presented first in the introductory
comments by Municipal Commissioner Ajoy Mehta, and emphasized throughout the
600-page document, is to redress Mumbai’s ‘space constraints’ through regulatory
changes that open new land for development and increase building heights and floor
space area (MCGM, 2018). While the plan acknowledges other challenges facing the city,
including threats from climate-induced flooding, its focus is firmly on development-
driven economic growth, facilitated by bolstered land supply.
Among its strategies for increasing land, the plan reduces building restrictions
on some of the city’s ecologically sensitive coastal areas, including roughly 300
hectares of salt pan lands along the eastern side of the island city ( ibid.; Chandran,
2018). Currently designated as protected wetlands, the salt pan lands are intertidal
areas that, according to ofcials at the Metropolitan Mumbai Regional Development
Authority (MMRDA), ‘are critically important from the point of view of flood
protection as they are shallow, depressed areas holding sea water’ (Gadgil, 2016:
paragraph 2). While the state government has long advocated the de-reservation of