Crises and contagion in Asia Pacific — Islamic v/s
conventional markets
Syed Aun R. Rizvi
a,
⁎, Shaista Arshad
b
, Nafis Alam
a
a
Nottingham University Business School, The University of Nottingham Malaysia Campus, Malaysia
b
IIUM Institute of Islamic Banking and Finance, Kuala Lumpur, Malaysia
article info abstract
Article history:
Received 20 January 2015
Accepted 12 April 2015
Available online 20 April 2015
This study attempts to investigate market co-movements in Islamic and
mainstream equity markets across US and Asia Pacific. The objective is
to understand the behavior of contagion across multiple crises in the
last decade and a half. Taking a lead from theory, of pure and fundamen-
tal contagion, we employ wavelet decomposition to unveil the multi-
horizon nature of co-movement. Our findings support the popular be-
lief, that the majority of the global shocks since 1996 were transmitted
via excessive linkages from US to Asia Pacific, while the recent subprime
crisis reveals a fundamental based contagion. In terms of the real sector
grounded Islamic markets, they tend to show traces of reduced
exposure in some crises owing to low leverage effect, while the less
diversified portfolio nature increases vulnerability in other crises. The
findings tend to provide an empirical ground for the argument of Islamic
equities and their composition, as a possible buffer to financial crises.
© 2015 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.
Keywords:
Contagion
Islamic finance
Asia pacific
Wavelet
1. Introduction
Numerous studies in the recent past have showed the increasing critical role of stock exchange co-
movement, as an outcome of the enhanced economic globalization. The evolving nature of co-movement of
stock markets across boundaries have been hypothetically and empirically examined and concluded to reflect
either the level of integration or the proof of contagion.
In regard to financial contagion, the proof might be seen from the evolution of co-movement temporarily
across diverse markets amid crisis periods (Candelon et al., 2008; Chakrabarti and Roll, 2002; and so on).
Concerning transmission channel of contagion, there are two different theoretical arguments; the pure and
fundamentals-based contagion (Dornbusch et al., 2002; Kaminsky and Reinhart, 2000). While the former is
Pacific-Basin Finance Journal 34 (2015) 315–326
⁎ Corresponding author. Tel.: +60 136145752.
E-mail addresses: aun@rizvis.net (S.A.R. Rizvi), shaistaarshad@gmail.com (S. Arshad), nafis.alam@nottingham.edu.my (N. Alam)
http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.pacfin.2015.04.002
0927-538X/© 2015 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.
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