Int. J. Reliability and Safety, Vol. 11, Nos. 1/2, 2017 23
Copyright © 2017 Inderscience Enterprises Ltd.
Modelling composite performance variable of
deteriorating systems using empirical evidence
and artificial neural network
P.A. Ozor*
Department of Mechanical Engineering,
Faculty of Engineering,
University of Nigeria Nsukka,
Enugu State, Nigeria
and
Department of Quality and Operations Management,
Faculty of Engineering and the Built Environment,
University of Johannesburg,
Johannesburg, South Africa
Email: pozor@uj.ac.za
Email: paul.ozor@unn.edu.ng
*Corresponding author
S.O. Onyegegbu
Department of Mechanical Engineering,
Faculty of Engineering,
University of Nigeria Nsukka,
Enugu State, Nigeria
Email: samuel_onyegegbu@yahoo.co.uk
J.C. Agunwamba
Department of Civil Engineering,
Faculty of Engineering,
University of Nigeria Nsukka,
Enugu State, Nigeria
Email: jonah.agunwamba@unn.edu.ng
Abstract: The use of operational and environmental conditions combined with
Artificial Neural Networks (ANNs) to model the composite performance of
deteriorating repairable systems is presented. The proposed variable is obtained
by combination of reliability, availability, maintainability and profitability
(RAMP). Probability distributions and empirical evidence observed on an
example system, namely centrifugal pumps at the gas plant of an energy
company, were relied upon to model the operation process. The results show
that the input variables, preventive maintenance, spare parts availability,
efficiency of operating personnel and efficiency of maintenance personnel,
with cumulative performance enhancement of 56.1%, 39.97%, 30.8% and
30.6%, respectively, improve RAMP appreciably. The results also show that
proper assessment and control of the input variables, administrative delays,