Journal of Economic Impact 4 (3) 2022. 233-243
233
Available Online
Journal of Economic Impact
ISSN: 2664-9764 (Online), 2664-9756 (Print)
https://www.scienceimpactpub.com/jei
FISCAL AND MONETARY POLICY DILEMMA IN PAKISTAN TO SUPPORT ECONOMIC GROWTH
Mariam Abbas Soharwardi
a,*
, Javeria Sarwar
b
, Muhammad Imran Khan
c
, Mariam Miraj
a
a
Department of Economics, The Islamia University of Bahawalpur, Pakistan
b
Department of Economics, Lahore College for Women University, Pakistan
c
Department of Mathematics and Statistics, University of Agriculture Faisalabad, Pakistan
ARTICLE INFO ABSTRACT
Article history
Received: September 10, 2022
Revised: December 09, 2022
Accepted: December 16, 2022
Monetary and fiscal policy are both macroeconomic instruments used to govern and have a
large impact on a country's economy, businesses, production and consumption. The objective
of the study is to evaluate the comparative analysis of fiscal and monetary policy in Pakistan.
For this purpose, an autoregressive distributed lag (ARDL) model was used, which showed
the significant impact of monetary and fiscal policy on enhancing economic growth. Data was
obtained from World Development Indicator (WDI) from 1990 to 2020. In this study, two
models have been estimated using the Gross Domestic Product (GDP) as a dependent variable
and Development Expenditures, Gross Fixed Capital Formation, Labor Force Participation,
Corruption, Total Tax, Trade openness, Broad Money (M2), Governmental Consumption
Expenditure as independent variables. The results showed that Monetary policy positively
impacts Pakistan’s economy. Also, the study found that fiscal policy affects Pakistan’s
economy positively. But the study reveals that monetary policy is more powerful in
promoting economic growth in Pakistan. So, we will suggest that promoting the monetary
policy in the banking sector would provide a suitable investment atmosphere through the
maintenance of inflationary rates, interest rates, and lending rates to endorse and confirm
economic growth, sustainability, solidity, and progress in Pakistan.
Keywords
Monetary policy
Fiscal policy
Economic growth
Email: mariam.abbas@iub.edu.pk
https://doi.org/10.52223/jei4032210
© The Author(s) 2022.
This is an open access article under the CC BY license (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/).
INTRODUCTION
Public revenue and spending are divided into two categories
in Pakistan's federal government budget. Enhancing and
maintaining economic growth and, as a result, lowering
unemployment and poverty are the primary goals of fiscal
policy. The government raised money from the populace by
imposing the tax (Tan et al., 2020). The government spends
money on things like salaries for public servants, developing
projects, social security perks, health care, defense, and
education. Pakistan fiscal structure briefly, Pakistan's fiscal
structure is characterized by a fragile tax base and an unfair
incidence of taxation, mutual with structural rigidities on the
payments side (Rickman and Wang, 2020). The reflection of
state finances in Pakistan. With one of the least tax GDP ratios
in this area, Pakistan's tax effort is still subpar. Since 2003, the
economy has grown significantly, yet the tax-to-GDP ratio has
decreased to less than 9.5%. First fiscal dominance generally
takes the shape of the yearly credit plan, in which the needs of
the government budget take preference over those of the
remaining of the economy(Yusuf and Mohd, 2021).
Considering that SBP implements monetary policy by focusing
on the broader economy as a whole. When accommodating the
government's need for credit for a given level of net foreign
reserves, reserve money is used as the equipped aim, broad
money is used for a given level of net foreign assets, reserve
money is employed as the operational object, and the in-
between target to accommodate the government's
requirement for credit while limiting the private sector
(Batten, et al., 2020). It was simpler to restrict access to the
nongovernmental sector under a system of direct monetary
control, in which the SBP openly controls the money supply or
credit in the economy through a variety of means, including
changes to the cash-reserve ratio, SLRs, credit ceilings, and the
credit deposited ratio. To state banks' credit, the private sector
does not, at least from the middle of the 1990s onward, appear
to have been considerably squeezed as a result of the
government's accommodation of considerable departures
from the initial credit plans' targets for budgetary borrowing.
Nevertheless, since the late 1980s, the overall M2 growth
targets outlined in the credit plan have constantly been
exceeded, severely slowing the central bank's fight against
inflation (Tien, 2021).
Fiscal hegemony or monetary policy served as the foundation
for development policy in advanced economics for a long time.
The use of such scientific notions in the close interplay of
monetary and fiscal policy, particularly during a recession,
was confirmed by experience. The incoherence of those