ecological modelling 195 ( 2 0 0 6 ) 307–317
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journal homepage: www.elsevier.com/locate/ecolmodel
The temporal transferability of calibrated
parameters of a hydrological model
Halit Apaydin
*
, Alper S. Anli, Ahmet Ozturk
University of Ankara, Faculty of Agriculture, Department of Farm Structures and Irrigation, 06110 Diskapi, Ankara, Turkey
article info
Article history:
Received 14 January 2005
Received in revised form 5 October
2005
Accepted 15 November 2005
Published on line 18 January 2006
Keywords:
Hydrological model
Model calibration
Transferability
SLURP
Aksu basin
Model performance
Runoff
Turkey
abstract
The SLURP model was tested for the transferability of calibrated model parameters for
different time periods in the Aksu Basin in the Black Sea region in Turkey. Two different
scenarios were tested. The first scenario used three data sets: 1980–1982 data for calibra-
tion, 1983–1984 data for validation, and 1995–2000 data for evaluation. The second scenario
used two data sets: 1995–2000 data for calibration and 1980–1984 data for evaluating trans-
ferability. Because a decrease in model performance occurred whenever using the calibrated
parameters before and after calibration periods, the authors recommend updating calibrated
model parameters whenever marked changes occur in the watershed.
© 2005 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.
1. Introduction
Hydrological modelling is an effective technique to assist
managers and decision-makers in the assessment and pro-
tection of water quantity and quality. Hydrological models
realistically represent the watershed’s complex system in
which hydrological characteristics result from several factors
(e.g., physical, vegetative, climatic, and anthropomorphic).
Using modelling techniques to understand runoff genera-
tion can lead to increasing water efficiency in the watershed.
Models simulate water management strategies that satisfy
the demands of different users, while mitigating deleterious
effects on riparian ecosystems (Heathcote, 1998; Kite, 1995;
Viessman et al., 1989; Romero et al., 2002; Black, 1991).
∗
Corresponding author. Tel.: +90 312 596 1562; fax: +90 312 316 7467.
E-mail addresses: apaydin@agri.ankara.edu.tr (H. Apaydin), asanli@agri.ankara.edu.tr (A.S. Anli), ozturk@agri.ankara.edu.tr
(A. Ozturk).
Studies using hydrologic models usually consist of four
phases: (1) collecting raw data of climate, topography, soil and
land covers; (2) processing data; (3) calibrating and validating
the model using selected periods of data; (4) using the model
for evaluating past periods, predicting future periods, or pro-
viding decision support for recent events.
The professional literature has usually described hydro-
logical models of runoff simulation that have been used or
evaluated for limited periods. At the end of a particular period,
a revised version or a different hydrological model has typ-
ically been used. Although some models have been used for
longer periods, the need for changing parameters has not been
clearly established. Unrealistic results may occur whenever
nonupdated parameters are applied to a basin model, one with
0304-3800/$ – see front matter © 2005 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.
doi:10.1016/j.ecolmodel.2005.11.032