TYPE Mini Review
PUBLISHED 26 July 2023
DOI 10.3389/fenrg.2023.1218603
OPEN ACCESS
EDITED BY
Hugo Morais,
University of Lisbon, Portugal
REVIEWED BY
Linfei Yin,
Guangxi University, China
*CORRESPONDENCE
Dongwei Xie,
2020103615@ruc.edu.cn
RECEIVED 07 May 2023
ACCEPTED 10 July 2023
PUBLISHED 26 July 2023
CITATION
Dou Y, Tan S and Xie D (2023),
Comparison of machine learning and
statistical methods in the feld of
renewable energy power generation
forecasting: a mini review.
Front. Energy Res. 11:1218603.
doi: 10.3389/fenrg.2023.1218603
COPYRIGHT
© 2023 Dou, Tan and Xie. This is an
open-access article distributed under
the terms of the Creative Commons
Attribution License (CC BY). The use,
distribution or reproduction in other
forums is permitted, provided the
original author(s) and the copyright
owner(s) are credited and that the
original publication in this journal is
cited, in accordance with accepted
academic practice. No use, distribution
or reproduction is permitted which does
not comply with these terms.
Comparison of machine learning
and statistical methods in the
feld of renewable energy power
generation forecasting: a mini
review
Yibo Dou
1
, Shuwen Tan
2
and Dongwei Xie
3
*
1
School of Software, Xinjiang University, Urumqi, China,
2
SJTU-UNIDO Joint Institute of Inclusive and
Sustainable Industrial Development, Shanghai Jiao Tong University, Shanghai, China,
3
School of
Mathematics, Renmin University of China, Beijing, China
In the post-COVID-19 era, countries are paying more attention to the energy
transition as well as tackling the increasingly severe climate crisis. Renewable
energy has attracted much attention because of its low economic costs
and environmental friendliness. However, renewable energy cannot be widely
adopted due to its high intermittency and volatility, which threaten the security
and stability of power grids and hinder the operation and scheduling of power
systems. Therefore, research on renewable power forecasting is important for
integrating renewable energy and the power grid and improving operational
efciency. In this mini-review, we compare two kinds of common renewable
power forecasting methods: machine learning methods and statistical methods.
Then, the advantages and disadvantages of the two methods are discussed
from diferent perspectives. Finally, the current challenges and feasible research
directions for renewable energy forecasting are listed.
KEYWORDS
power generation forecasting, machine learning, statistical methods, energy transition,
climate crisis
1 Introduction
Te COVID-19 pandemic had a huge impact on the world economy, society, and public
health and was one of the most terrible disasters in human history. Te “post-COVID-19
era” is an era in which economic growth, international relations, industrial development,
and people’s consumption habits have greatly changed due to the pandemic (Schwab and
Malleret, 2020). While the impacts of the pandemic on human society will persist for a long
time, climate change is also gaining more attention as another serious crisis. Te United
Nations has listed climate change as a key issue in its recent Sustainable Development
Goals (SDGs), which have been adopted into the 2030 Agenda (Usman et al., 2021). We can
ascertain the reason: climate change can create catastrophic events, and its efects will be
long-lasting, cumulative, and irreversible afer a tipping point is reached (Jiao et al., 2020).
CO
2
emissions from the power sector decreased signifcantly during COVID-19, but this
was largely due to the economic recession (Bertram et al., 2021). A green economic recovery
in the post-COVID-19 era has prompted countries to think about the energy transition.
Te restructuring of global value chains in the post-COVID-19 era also notably brings new
Frontiers in Energy Research 01 frontiersin.org