Talami and Jakubiec – Earlydesign sensitivity analysis of radiant cooled office buildings Accepted for publication in Energy and Buildings. Earlydesign sensitivity of radiant cooled office buildings in the tropics for building performance Riccardo Talami a , J. Alstan Jakubiec b a. Loughborough University, Loughborough, UK b. University of Toronto, John H. Daniels Faculty of Architecture, Landscape and Design, Toronto, Canada ABSTRACT The research community has worked on improving the design, performance, and operation of radiant system technologies; however, the interactions between architectural design decisions and radiant cooling systems design in the tropics where radiant system design and operation represents a challenge due to high external heat gains and latent loads have been left unexplored by existing work. This manuscript (1) addresses the holistic earlydesign of effective radiant cooling systems and the architectural environments that they serve in hot and humid tropical climates, (2) analyzes how different design choices and their interaction affect buildings performance compared to conventional allair systems, and (3) proposes preliminary earlydesign indications of the parameters values to adopt when designing radiant cooled office buildings in the tropics to achieve high multiobjective design goals. Morris sensitivity analysis is used to analyze the impact of 13 different building and system design parameters on comfort, system and energy performances for 3 radiant systems typologies applied to a parametric office building in the tropical climate of Singapore. The elementary effect (EE) of each parameter is analyzed based on 8,200 individual EnergyPlus simulation models being run, and the impact, interactions & (non) linear effects of different design factors are assessed. It is found that radiant cooling systems require different earlydesign phase considerations than conventional airbased cooling systems since different parameters prove to be dominant or significant. All three radiant system typologies, if coupled with efficient operational strategies and a complimentary set of design variables, ensure high multiobjective building performance, showing how the implementation of radiant cooling technologies could be beneficial for a tropical climate. The window solar heat gain coefficient and the façade windowtowall ratio play a key role in this effort with respective values falling below or equal to 54% and 57%. The system setpoint temperature has an increased importance for operational efficiency allowing high drybulb room temperatures ranging from 24.8 °C to 27 °C. Keywords: radiant cooling systems; sensitivity analysis; decisionmaking process; earlystage design 1. INTRODUCTION According to the U.S. Energy Information Administration’s (EIA) International Energy Outlook 2016 [1], the energy consumed in the buildings sector, divided between residential and commercial end users, accounts for onefifth of the total delivered energy consumed worldwide and contributes to 3040% of the total greenhouse gas emissions mainly due to the end use of electricity for heating, cooling, and mechanical ventilation. Commercial activities are the fastestgrowing energy demand sector with a predicted average increase of 1.6%/year in between 2012 and 2040. This data highlights the necessity to reduce heating and cooling needs by focusing on offices energy demands. Achieving a thermally comfortable environment while improving energy efficiency in buildings has become a necessity in the tropical hot and humid climate, where sensible and latent cooling represents the largest portion of the energy expenditure. In Singapore, the building sector accounts for 31% of the total energy consumed in the country [2], and around 60% is used for cooling and ventilation needs [3]. With the demand