Copyright © 2023 The Author(s): This is an open-access article distributed under the terms of the Creative
Commons Attribution 4.0 International License (CC BY-NC 4.0) which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and
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International Journal of Scientific Research in Computer Science, Engineering and
Information Technology
ISSN : 2456-3307 Available Online at : www.ijsrcseit.com
doi : https://doi.org/10.32628/CSEIT23903141
15
E-Business Churn Prediction Model Using Machine Learning
Ayyapureddi Siva Sai Rupesh
1
, Advin Manhar
2
1
Student, Department of Computer Science and Engineering, Amity University Chhattisgarh, Raipur, Chhattisgarh,
India
2
Assistant Professor, Department of Computer Science and Engineering, Amity University Chhattisgarh, Raipur,
Chhattisgarh, India
A R T I C L E I N F O A B S T R A C T
Article History:
Accepted: 20 June 2023
Published: 05 July 2023
Businesses need to keep their clients in the present competitive environment in
order to remain in the market. To achieve this, they must anticipate customer
attrition and take proactive steps to keep clients. In this research, we offer a model
for predicting customer churn based on machine learning that can forecast the
probability of consumers leaving with accuracy. To anticipate customer turnover,
we employ a variety of machine learning techniques, including logistic regression,
random forest, and support vector machines. To assess the effectiveness of our
methodology, we additionally employ a number of assessment measures. Our
findings show that the suggested model works better than the current models and
can aid companies in keeping consumers.
Keywords : Machine learning, Logistic Regression, Random Forest, and Customer
Churn Customer retention, classification, e-business churn forecast, accuracy,
precision, recall, F1-score, Log loss, ROC AUC, calibration loss, cost matrix gain
Publication Issue
Volume 9, Issue 4
July-August-2023
Page Number
15-23
I. INTRODUCTION
In today's competitive business landscape, retaining
customers and minimizing customer churn has become
a top priority for organizations across various
industries. Customer churn is the phenomenon when
customers cease utilising a company's products or
services or stop doing business with it. A business's
income and general growth might suffer significantly
when key clients are lost. Because of this, it is now vital
for firms to proactively identify clients who are at
danger of leaving and take the necessary steps to keep
them.
Machine learning has become a potent tool for
anticipating customer attrition because to its capacity
to examine vast amounts of data and unearth patterns
and insights. Machine learning models can find trends
and signs that are suggestive of possible churn by using
past customer data and advanced algorithms. These
models can then be used to generate actionable insights
and develop targeted retention strategies to mitigate
customer churn.