Journal of Monetary Economics 4 (1978) 519-541. © North-Holland Publishing Company
THE IMPACT OF MONETARY AND FISCAL POLICIES ON
THE FRENCH FINANCIAL SYSTEM
Andre FOURCANS*
Ecole Superieure des Sciences Economiques et Commerciales (ESSEC),
95001 Cergy, France
This paper presents a model of the French financial system and analyses the influence of policy
instruments on one price (the interest rate) and two quantities (the stocks of bank credit and
money). The development of hypotheses as to the behavior of the banking system and the
public leads to a theoretical construct of the monetary system. After a comparative static
analysis, the model is tested and the influence of policy instruments on the above mentioned
three variables is empirically ascertained. Among other things, it is shown that the required
reserve system is not optimally established and that some institutional reforms would improve
the authorities' control over monetary processes.
1. Introduction
Monetary processes have attracted much theoretical and empirical interest
with the spread of the 'monetarist counter revolution.' Systematic generalizations
about the role of money in a developed economy require the development of
analytical constructs applicable to different institutional frameworks. This
research proposes a step in this direction by presenting, and testing, a model of
French monetary processes. Due to the crucial importance of interest rates,
bank credit and money the analysis emphasizes the impact of fiscal and monetary
instruments on these variables.
Part 2 of this paper sets forth the theoretical aspects of a model incorporating
the French institutional fl'amework. It analyses the monetary behavior of the
banking system and the public. This development leads to the presentation of a
theoretical construct of the monetary s)ste~n. The empirical analysis is pursued
in part 3 v, here the model is tested econometrically both v, ith ordinary and two
stage least squares. The empirical results permit the establishment of numerical
values as to the elasticities of the interest rate, bank credit and money v, ith
respect to policy variables. Finally, part 4 develops some propositions for reforms
of the monetary system.
*The author is grateful to Michele Fratianni for comments on an earlier draft and
especially to Allan Meltzer tbr numerous suggestions that have significantly improved this
paper. Any remaining problems are, of course, the sole responsibility of the author. This paper
xvas revised while the author x~as visiting at Carnegie-Mellon University.