Journal of Advanced Research in Business and Management Studies 20, Issue 1 (2020) 1-13
1
Journal of Advanced Research in Business
and Management Studies
Journal homepage: www.akademiabaru.com/arbms.html
ISSN: 2462-1935
Identifying Relevant Predictor Variables for a Credit Scoring
Model using Compromised-Analytic Hierarchy Process
(Compromised-AHP)
Yosi Lizar Eddy
1
, Engku Muhammad Nazri
2,
, Nor Idayu Mahat
2
1
Risk Quantification Section, Risk Management Department, Bank Muamalat Malaysia Berhad, 21 Jalan Melaka, 50100 Kuala Lumpur, Malaysia
2
School of Quantitative Sciences, Universiti Utara Malaysia, 06010 UUM Sintok, Kedah, Malaysia
ABSTRACT
Developing an efficient credit scoring model to reduce the risk of personal-loan defaulters involves the selection of manageable
reliable predictor variables in order to avoid the potential clients from providing too much information and to reduce the burden
of a bank from keeping huge historical data, which can be burdensome and costly. The objective of this paper is therefore to
illustrate how compromised-AHP can be used as one the methods to select such relevant reliable predictor variables before the
final credit scoring model is constructed. A case study involving four experts from a bank was conducted. A set of sub-predictor
variables under four main predictor variables namely financial indicators, demographic Indicators, employment indicators, and
behavioural indicators was rated based on the perception of the four experts. The results reveal that, based on the experts’
perception, the number of payments per year and payment interval, the loan or credit history, total income, total debt, the checking
accounts, and age are the six most influential predictor variables while race, gender, and social status are the three least influential
predictor variables.
Keywords:
Credit scoring model; predictor variables;
loan defaulters; compromised-AHP
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1. Introduction
The banking industry has developed into one of the comprehensive and competitive markets in
contributing to economic development over the past few decades. One of its many businesses is
providing personal loans to potential clients. Giving out personal loans is an insecure business but at
the same time, it is one of the major sources of income to most banks. Banks would prefer not to
allow credit to those customers who lack the capacity to pay back the credit given. Be that as it may,
after some time, a certain percentage of the credits will eventually transform into bad loan regardless
of the possibility that the banks tighten its credit policy [1-2]. Analysing the non-performing loans
data will effectively measure the quality of credit endorsement process. The loan granting process
must be observed vigilantly, and banks should formulate an effective credit risk management. After
Corresponding author.
E-mail address: enazri@uum.edu.my
https://doi.org/10.37934/arbms.20.1.113
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