Corporate Ownership & Control / Volume 15, Issue 4, Summer 2018
64
INVESTOR SENTIMENT AND IPO PRICING:
MARKET: EVIDENCE FROM INDIA
Manas Mayur
*
* Department of Finance & Accounting – Goa Institute of Management, Sanquelim Campus, India.
Contact details: Sanquelim Campus, Poriem Sattari, Goa – 403505, India.
1. INTRODUCTION
An Initial Public Offerings (IPO) is the first sale of a
company’s shares to the public and the listing of the
shares on a stock exchange. It is one of the ways of
raising cash. Cash is a soul of a company, especially
in today’s competitive environment where companies
need to grow to survive, is an enabler for a company’s
success. Companies need cash to carry out activities
to sustain and beat the competition. Activities like
growing of market share, growing of customer base,
increase in R&D spending in order to find new
products or new uses for existing products, an
increase of manufacturing capacity, marketing and
distribution etc. have forced companies to constantly
search for cash. The recent trend shows that IPO has
become one of the popular and dependable methods
of raising cash. But the trend was found to be very
inconsistent. The volatility was also found in terms of
return generated by the IPO stocks.
The volatility in volume and returns can affect
the confidence of investors. Hence a study on the
variability in the volume of IPOs across years and
variability in initial return generated by the investors
was needed. The inconsistency in volume is studied
from the perspective of market timing attempt by the
issuers. Years, where the volume of IPOs was very
high, were termed as ‘Hot market’ period whereas
years, where the volume was low, were termed as
‘Cold market’ period. Market timing has attracted
many researchers ever since Ritter (1984)
documented the concept of “Hot market” and “Cold
market” for the sample of US firms. According to
Ritter (1984), the hot market is that phase of the
market which is perceived to be favourable by issuers
and entrepreneurs, whereas the cold market is that
phase of the market which is perceived to be
unfavourable.
The overall research question of the present
study is whether Indian firms timed their issue with
a favourable market condition or not? There is a
dearth of empirical studies conducted to examine the
market timing approach. Even in the already sparse
empirical literature, most existing studies are in the
context of developed countries, and evidence in the
context of emerging countries is rare and far in
between. Authors have not come across any research
study done in the context of Indian firms on the
theme of this paper. The present study adds to the
existing sparse empirical literature by investigating
the above issues in the context of a sample of firms
drawn from the emerging market of India. Finally, the
India specific focus of this study makes it especially
useful for the ever increasing pool of investors
interested in the Indian Primary market. Growing
interest of investors in the Indian primary market is
evidenced by the recent buoyancy in the IPO activity
of the Indian companies (Table 1). While the success
of the Indian primary market in the recent years is a
positive signal, efforts need to be done to sustain the
positive trends in the future also.
Abstract
How to cite this paper: Mayur, M. (2018).
Investor sentiment and IPO pricing:
Market: Evidence from India. Corporate
Ownership & Control, 15(4), 64-72.
http://doi.org/10.22495/cocv15i4art6
Copyright © 2018 The Authors
This work is licensed under the Creative
Commons Attribution-NonCommercial
4.0 International License (CC BY-NC 4.0).
http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-
nc/4.0/
ISSN Online: 1810-3057
ISSN Print: 1727-9232
Received: 17.04.2018
Accepted: 04.07.2018
JEL Classification: G00, G10, G20, G30,
G32
DOI: 10.22495/cocv15i4art6
The present paper aims at understanding the variability in IPO
volume and initial return in Indian capital market. In order to see
whether the IPOs were timed with the favourable market or not the
market was divided into the hot and cold market, defined on the
basis of the monthly IPO volume. Then the relationship between
market type and total proceeds was established with the help of a
multivariate regression model with the idea that any timing attempt
should be reflected in the activity of issuance of equity. The result
based on multivariate regression suggest that Market timers,
identified as firms that go public when the market is hot, tried to
maximize the total proceeds at the time of IPO. The hot-market
effect is remarkably robust; it is significant for both firm and
industry-level characteristics.
Keywords: Initial Public Offerings, Emerging Market, India, Market
Timing.