Ravi Kumar SAMINENI, Raja Babu PUPPALA, Syamsundar KULAPATHI, Shiva Kumar MADAPATHI /
Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business Vol 8 No 4 (2021) 0857–0861 857 857
Print ISSN: 2288-4637 / Online ISSN 2288-4645
doi:10.13106/jafeb.2021.vol8.no4.0857
A Study on Unfolding Asymmetric Volatility: A Case
Study of National Stock Exchange in India
Ravi Kumar SAMINENI
1
, Raja Babu PUPPALA
2
, Syamsundar KULAPATHI
3
, Shiva Kumar MADAPATHI
4
Received: December 20, 2020 Revised: March 07, 2021 Accepted: March 15, 2021
Abstract
The study aims to find the asymmetric effect in National Stock Exchange in which the Nifty50 is considered as proxy for NSE. A return can
be stated as the change in value of a security over a certain time period. Volatility is the rate of change in security value. It is an arithmetical
assessment of the dispersion of yields of security prices. Stock prices are extremely unpredictable and make the investment in equities risky.
Predicting volatility and modeling are the most profuse areas to explore. The current study describes the association between two variables,
namely, stock yields and volatility in equity market in India. The volatility is measured by employing asymmetric GARCH technique, i.e.,
the EGARCH (1,1) tool, which was used in building the study. The closing prices of Nifty on day-to-day basis were used for analysis from
the period 2011 to 2020 with 2,478 observations in the study. The model arrests the lopsided volatility during the mentioned period. The
outcome of asymmetric GARCH model revealed the subsistence of leverage effect in the index and confirms the impact of conditional
variance as well. Furthermore, the EGARCH technique was evidenced to be apt in seizure of unsymmetrical volatility.
Keywords: Volatility, Asymmetric Effect, Conditional Variance, Nifty Index, India
JEL Classification Codes: C22, G10, G17
can possibly fluctuate drastically whereas a lesser variability
means a security value does not deviate considerably, but
change happens over a period of time. Volatility in spot
market is generally more visible in a falling market than in
surging markets. Uptrend in the market tends to be gradual
and downtrends have a tendency to be abrupt and sharper.
Percentage change in price generally is higher in downward
trend than in upward trend. A distinct characteristic of the
volatility is that it is not directly noticeable, so analysts are
particularly keen to find a detailed estimate of asymmetric
volatility.
As soon as fluctuations in stock prices reach peaks, the
repercussion can be catastrophic. Firstly, if such volatility
exists, organizations may not be in a position to utilize
the existing capital efficiently as large part of the cash-
equivalents have to be maintained to restore confidence
among lenders and regulators. Secondly, such type of
volatility intensifies market-risk and necessitates market
participants to maintain enough liquidity, thus bringing
down the liquidity in the market completely. Finally, huge
fluctuations dampen investors’ confidence from carrying
securities, thus guiding to demand for additional risk, which
influences further volatility.
1
First Author and Corresponding Author. Research Scholar,
Department of Management Studies, K L Deemed to be University,
India [Postal Address: Green Fields, Vaddeswaram, Guntur District,
Andhra Pradesh, 522502, India] Email: samineni08@gmail.com
2
Associate Professor, Department of Management Studies, K L
Deemed to be University, India. Email: dr.prb@kluniversity.in
3
Associate Professor, Department of MBA, Vignan Degree and PG
College, India. Email: syamkulapathi@gmail.com
4
Assistant Professor, Vishwa Vishwani Institute of Systems &
Management, India. Email: madapathishivakumar75@gmail.com
© Copyright: The Author(s)
This is an Open Access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution
Non-Commercial License (https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc/4.0/) which permits
unrestricted non-commercial use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the
original work is properly cited.
1. Introduction
Modeling and predicting volatility have become
important topics for research and have gained prominence
among academicians and researchers. This is due to the fact
that instability is considered as a vital concept for pecuniary
applications, like hedging, portfolio optimization, and pricing
of assets. Volatility denotes the amount of risk about the
variations in a security’s price. A larger volatility means value