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Transportation Research Part C
journal homepage: www.elsevier.com/locate/trc
What drives the use of ridehailing in California? Ordered probit
models of the usage frequency of Uber and Lyft
Farzad Alemi
a,
⁎
, Giovanni Circella
a,b
, Patricia Mokhtarian
b
, Susan Handy
a
a
Institute of Transportation Studies, University of California, Davis, 1715 Tilia Street, Davis, CA 95616, United States
b
School of Civil and Environmental Engineering, Georgia Institute of Technology, 790 Atlantic Drive, Atlanta, GA 30332, United States
ARTICLEINFO
Keywords:
Uber/Lyft
Ridehailing
Travel behavior
Frequency model
Ordered probit model with sample selection
Zero-inflated probit ordered model with
correlated error terms
ABSTRACT
The availability of ridehailing services, such as those provided by Uber and Lyft in the U.S.
market, as well as the share of trips made by these services, are continuously growing. Yet, the
factors affecting the frequency of use of these services are not well understood. In this paper, we
investigate how the frequency of use of ridehailing varies across segments of the California po-
pulation and under various circumstances. We analyze data from the California Millennials
Dataset (N = 1975), collected in fall 2015 through an online survey administered to both mil-
lennials and members of the preceding Generation X. We estimate an ordered probit model with
sample selection and a zero-inflated ordered probit model with correlated error terms to dis-
tinguish the factors affecting the frequency of use of ridehailing from those affecting the adoption
of these services. The results are consistent across models: sociodemographic variables are im-
portant predictors of service adoption but do not explain much of the variation in the frequency
of use. Land use mix and activity density respectively decrease and increase the frequency of
ridehailing. The results also confirm that individuals who frequently use smartphone apps to
manage other aspects of their travel (e.g. to select a route or check traffic) are more likely to
adopt ridehailing and use it more often. This is also true for long-distance travelers, in particular,
those who frequently travel by plane for leisure purposes. Individuals with higher willingness to
pay to reduce their travel time use ridehailing more often. Those with stronger preferences to
own a personal vehicle and those with stronger concerns about the safety/security of ridehailing
are less likely to be frequent users. These results provide new insights into the adoption and use
of ridehailing that could help to inform planning and forecasting efforts.
1. Introduction
The rapid expansion of digital technology, and in particular the increased availability of locational data and smartphone ap-
plications, as well as the emergence of new technology-enabled transportation services, are transforming transportation demand and
supply. New technologies and reinvented business models disentangle access to transportation services from the fixed cost of auto
ownership by providing unique opportunities for the introduction and extensive deployment of a wide range of new transportation
services. New mobility services range from car-sharing, including fleet-basedround-trip and one-wayservices such as Zipcar and Car2Go,
respectively, or peer-to-peer services such as Turo, to ride-sharing services, including dynamic carpooling such as Carma and ridehailing
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.trc.2018.12.016
Received 19 May 2018; Received in revised form 22 December 2018; Accepted 31 December 2018
⁎
Corresponding author.
E-mail addresses: falemi@ucdavis.edu (F. Alemi), gcircella@ucdavis.edu (G. Circella), patmokh@gatech.edu (P. Mokhtarian),
slhandy@ucdavis.edu (S. Handy).
Transportation Research Part C 102 (2019) 233–248
0968-090X/ © 2019 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.
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