Int. J. Dynamical Systems and Differential Equations, Vol. 7, No. 2, 2017 157
Copyright © 2017 Inderscience Enterprises Ltd.
Threshold for vaccination in measles and its vertical
transmission
Nita H. Shah*
Department of Mathematics,
Gujarat University,
Ahmedabad, Gujarat 380009, India
Email: nitahshah@ gmail.com
*Corresponding author
Zalak A. Patel
L. D. College of Engineering,
Ahmedabad, Gujarat 380015, India
Email: zalak23patel@gmail.com
Bijal M. Yeolekar
Department of Mathematics,
Gujarat University,
Ahmedabad, Gujarat 380009, India
Email: bijalyeolekar28@gmail.com
Abstract: This study analyses measles transmission vertically with vaccination
failure and delay of vaccination. The effect of infected newborns as a time
delay is analysed. Time delay is considered as a loss of maternal immunity
amongst newborns. The system of non-linear differential equations for the
proposed problem is formulated. The next generation matrix method is used to
find the reproduction number, and to obtain the stability of the infection free as
well as the endemic equilibrium. Effect of time delay in vaccination has been
studied for disease-free equilibrium. The local and global stability of the system
is analysed. Sensitivity of the key parameters is measured using numerical
simulation and observed that it supports the analytical results.
Keywords: measles; pulse vaccination; stability; threshold; time delays;
vertical transmission.
Reference to this paper should be made as follows: Shah, N.H., Patel, Z.A. and
Yeolekar, B.M. (2017) ‘Threshold for vaccination in measles and its vertical
transmission’, Int. J. Dynamical Systems and Differential Equations, Vol. 7,
No. 2, pp.157–168.
Biographical notes: Nita H. Shah is a Professor in the Department of
Mathematics at the Gujarat University, Ahmedabad. She has 20 years of
research experience in inventory management, forecasting and information
technology and information systems. She has published 300+ articles in
international journals, including APJOR (Singapore), International Journal of
Production Economics, Omega, CCERO (Belgium), ECPE (Romania),