Chapter 27
Monitoring of Agricultural Expansion
Using Hybrid Classification Method
in Southwestern Fringes of Wadi
El-Natrun, Egypt: An Appraisal
for Sustainable Development
Ahmed M. Saqr, Mahmoud Nasr, Manabu Fujii, Chihiro Yoshimura,
and Mona G. Ibrahim
Abstract Agricultural development activities are essential for sustainable develop-
ment in arid and semiarid regions. Therefore, a hybrid image classification method-
ology was proposed to monitor agricultural expansion and identify its linkages to
sustainable development goals (SDGs). It was applied in the southwestern fringes
of Wadi El-Natrun, Egypt, which is considered a promising area for reclamation
projects via groundwater. Based on the inspection of the existing land cover (LC)
types, spectral indices, i.e., normalized difference vegetation index (NDVI), bare
soil index (BSI), and dry built-up index (DBI), were used to get training samples
for the obtained Landsat images. Then, the maximum likelihood algorithm followed
by a change detection procedure was applied to delineate LC trends between 2007
and 2022. The resulting LC maps exhibited high accuracy, with a Kappa coefficient
equal to ~0.90. In addition, the agricultural regions grew from nearly 7.64% of the
whole area to about 43.72%, accompanied by a severe shortage in the desert land of
roughly 36.30%. However, the urban areas witnessed a small gain of approximately
A. M. Saqr · M. Nasr · M. G. Ibrahim
Environmental Engineering Department, Egypt-Japan University of Science and Technology,
Alexandria, Egypt
A. M. Saqr (B ) · M. Fujii · C. Yoshimura
Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering, Tokyo Institute of Technology, Tokyo, Japan
e-mail: ahmedsaqr@mans.edu.eg; ahmed.saqr@ejust.edu.eg
A. M. Saqr
Irrigation and Hydraulics Department, Faculty of Engineering, Mansoura University, Mansoura,
Egypt
M. Nasr
Sanitary Engineering Department, Alexandria University, Alexandria, Egypt
M. G. Ibrahim
Environmental Health Department, High Institute of Public Health, Alexandria University,
Alexandria, Egypt
© The Author(s), under exclusive license to Springer Nature Singapore Pte Ltd. 2023
K. Ujikawa et al. (eds.), Environment and Sustainable Development,
Environmental Science and Engineering, https://doi.org/10.1007/978-981-99-4101-8_27
349