Please cite this article in press as: Nedi´ c, V., et al. Institutional reforms for economic growth in the Western
Balkan countries. Journal of Policy Modeling (2020), https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jpolmod.2020.04.002
ARTICLE IN PRESS
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Journal of Policy Modeling xxx (2020) xxx–xxx
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Institutional reforms for economic growth in the
Western Balkan countries
Vladimir Nedi´ c
a
, Danijela Despotovi´ c
b,∗
, Slobodan Cvetanovi´ c
c
,
Tadija Djuki´ c
c
, Dragan Petrovi´ c
c
a
Academy of Professional Studies Sumadija, Kosovska 8, 34000 Kragujevac, Serbia
b
University of Kragujevac – Faculty of Economics, Liceja Kneˇ zevine Srbije 3, 34000 Kragujevac, Serbia
c
University of Niˇ s – Faculty of Economics, Trg Kralja Aleksandra 11, 18000 Niˇ s, Serbia
Received 4 December 2019; received in revised form 10 March 2020; accepted 25 April 2020
Abstract
The paper presents an empirical analysis of the impact of institutional reform policies and institutional
quality on the economic growth of five Western Balkan countries (WB countries: Serbia, Montenegro, Bosnia
and Herzegovina, Northern Macedonia and Albania) in the period 2006-2016. It was developed its own model
of quantification concerning the impact of the most important indicators of the quality of institutions on the
economic growth of these countries, which are in a delayed phase of transition and at some stage in the
EU accession process. Achieving high and stable rates of economic growth for WB countries becomes the
ultimate prerequisite for completing the EU transition and accession process. In order to improve growth
dynamics, among other things, it is necessary to identify key drivers of growth and to model appropriate
growth and development policies based on the results obtained. In the paper, WB countries were viewed
as a whole. By empirically testing the impact of individual quality indicators of institutions on economic
growth, according to the World Bank Governance Indicators methodology by using panel data multiple
linear regression analysis, the largest statistically significant and positive impact came from the Government
Effectiveness and Regulatory Quality variable. The intensity of the impact of the Control of Corruption and
Rule of Law variable on GDP per capita is slightly weaker, but it is also very pronounced. In this respect,
the empirical results obtained can be a useful framework for modeling the development policies of WB
∗
Corresponding author.
E-mail address: ddespotovic@kg.ac.rs (D. Despotovi´ c).
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jpolmod.2020.04.002
0161-8938/© 2020 The Society for Policy Modeling. Published by Elsevier Inc. All rights reserved.