Self-Selection in Migration Between Developing
Countries: The Role of Unobservable Skills of
Gauteng’s Migrant Population
Nwabisa Nontenja* and Umakrishnan Kollamparambil*
ABSTRACT
The present study investigates the presence of self-selection among internal and international
migrants in Gauteng, South Africa and further disentangles the effects of observed and unob-
served characteristics in the self-selection of migrants by conducting Oaxaca-Blinder decompo-
sition on overall employment and self-employment outcome variables. Our analysis, based on
system-GMM analysis of pseudo-panel data, indicates that international migrants experienced
markedly higher levels of employment than both locals and internal migrants driven by higher
rates of informal and self-employment. International migrants were also found to outperform
their South African-born counterparts on various variables indicative of well-being like total
household income, per capita household income, higher life satisfaction, and lower debt levels.
Even though international migrants did not have higher levels of education, the Oaxaca-Blin-
der decomposition provided evidence of the positive selection of international migrants to
Gauteng, based on unobservable characteristics, to achieve higher levels of employment and
self-employment.
INTRODUCTION
Literature on migration has pointed to the existence of self-selection bias, as individuals who
choose to migrate may be systematically different from those who choose not to migrate. (Borjas,
1987). Migration represents an adjustment in an individual’s portfolio of human capital invest-
ments, along with activities such as education, training and healthcare, to maximise their overall
lifetime returns (Gabriel and Schmitz, 1995). Furthermore, Gabriel and Schmitz (1995: 461) state
that “life cycle factors such as age, marital status, presence of children, education and acquired
labour market skills will affect how individuals evaluate differences between destination and the
country of origin”. It then follows that for a population that is heterogeneous in factors such as
ability, motivation, education, and life cycle characteristics, the returns associated with migrating
across different locations are likely to be different (Dostie and L eger, 2009). Those who make the
decision to migrate will therefore be a self-selected subset of the population. Literature has also
sought to disentangle the effects of observable and unobservable characteristics in the decision to
migrate. Even in the case of migrants and non-migrants who appear similar in observable character-
istics such as age or education, there are potential differences in latent attributes that affect the
migration decision (Nakosteen et al., 2008).
* School of Economic and Business Sciences, University of Witwatersrand, Johannesburg
doi: 10.1111/imig.12454
© 2018 The Authors
International Migration © 2018 IOM
International Migration
ISSN 0020-7985 Published by John Wiley & Sons Ltd.