Immigration and international prices: An initial assessment
Marios Zachariadis ⁎
Department of Economics, University of Cyprus, 1678 Nicosia, Cyprus
abstract article info
Article history:
Received 25 November 2009
Received in revised form 26 October 2010
Accepted 9 November 2010
Available online 18 November 2010
JEL classification:
E31
J10
J61
Keywords:
Immigration
Prices
Using prices from a number of cities across the world during 1990–2006, this paper shows that there exists a
negative impact of immigration on prices. The estimated absolute elasticity of prices with respect to
immigration is around 14% across specifications.
© 2010 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.
1. Introduction
Immigration is an important demographic force likely to have an
important role in shaping economic outcomes. Its effect on the labor
market and domestic wages has been the focus of a large body of
work, typically finding a negative effect of immigration on wages (e.g.
Borjas, 2003). By contrast, its role in determining prices of final goods
has not been considered by more than a handful of papers. Lach
(2007) utilizes Israeli data on individual product prices and
immigration across Israeli cities and finds that immigration reduces
prices through a demand-side channel of increased search and higher
price elasticities for immigrants. Cortes (2008) uses prices and
immigration data across U.S. cities to show that an increase in
immigration reduces prices via a supply-side channel by reducing
wages. The goal of this paper is to estimate the impact of immigration
on prices for cities across the world during 1990–2006.
In theory, we would expect several forces to be driving the relation
between prices and immigration. First, there should be a positive
effect on prices after an increase in overall demand due to
immigration. Second, to the extent that immigrants are poorer than
locals we would expect them to have higher search and substitut-
ability parameters acting to negate any positive demand-side effects
on prices as in Lach (2007). Third, consistent with Cortes (2008), one
would expect immigrants to receive lower wages at given productiv-
ity levels, partly because of a lower opportunity cost related also to
subjectively perceived wage comparisons relative to the typically
poorer home country. Thus, the overall impact of immigration on
prices is an empirical issue.
2. Data
We use price levels for 304 items across 140 cities in 90 countries
for the period 1990 to 2006, assembled by the Economist Intelligence
Unit (EIU). These items include over 100 distinct goods and services
spanning the CPI, including items such us: Margarine 500 g in
supermarket; Bananas 1 kg in mid-priced store; Coca-Cola 1 l in
supermarket; and Fast food snack, hamburger, fries and drink,
average. We use employed migrant population I
nt
into each country
Economics Letters 110 (2011) 83–85
⁎ Tel.: +357 22893712; fax: +357 22892432.
E-mail address: zachariadis@ucy.ac.cy.
Table 1
Country availability.
Nation Cities
Austria Vienna
Ecuador Quito
France Lyon, Paris
Ireland Dublin
Korea Seoul
Malaysia Kuala Lumpur
Spain Barcelona, Madrid
Switzerland Geneva, Zurich
Turkey Istanbul
UK London, Manchester
US Seventeen cities
Note
Venezuela Caracas
Note: These are Atlanta, Boston, Chicago, Cleveland, Detroit, Honolulu, Houston,
Lexington, Los Angeles, Miami, Minneapolis, New York, Pittsburgh, San Francisco, San
Juan, Seattle, and Washington DC.
0165-1765/$ – see front matter © 2010 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.
doi:10.1016/j.econlet.2010.11.017
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