Asian Development Policy Review, 2016, 4(4): 91-99 91 † Corresponding author DOI: 10.18488/journal.107/2016.4.4/107.4.91.99 ISSN(e): 2313-8343/ISSN(p): 2518-2544 © 2016 AESS Publications. All Rights Reserved. MALARIA AND AGRICULTURAL PRODUCTION IN NIGERIA Mosunmola Grace Moses Udoudo 1 † --- Gabriel Sunday Umoh 2 --- Aniekan Jim Akpaeti 3 1,2 Department of Agricultural Economics and Extension, University of Uyo, P.M.B.1017, Uyo, AkwaIbom State, Nigeria 3 Department of Agricultural Economics and Extension, AkwaIbom State University, ObioOkpa, AkwaIbom State, Nigeria ABSTRACT Malaria has adverse effect on agricultural production in Nigeria. This study examined the effect of malaria morbidity on the agricultural Gross Domestic Product (GDP) in Nigeria as well as predicts the future incidence of malaria in Nigeria. Secondary data employed in the study were analyzed using descriptive statistics, production function and Markov chain analysis. Findings from the study revealed that the highest percentage change in malaria morbidity and mortality were recorded in the period between 1996 and 2000 just before the Millennium Development Goal declaration. Malaria impacted negatively on agriculture production in the country both in the short and long-run. For every one reported case of malaria per 100,000 persons in the country, while holding other explanatory variables constant, Agric. GDP will reduce by N 0.762 per year. Projections of malaria morbidity in Nigeria revealed that by the end of the year 2040, the number of people that will die of malaria for every reported case will increase. The paper recommends that efforts should be directed towards the complete extermination of malaria vectors. © 2016 AESS Publications. All Rights Reserved. Keywords: Agriculture, Agricultural production, Agricultural GDP, Malaria morbidity, Malaria mortality, Nigeria. Received: 28 August 2016/ Revised: 10 November 2016/ Accepted: 18 November 2016/ Published: 22 November 2016 Contribution/ Originality This study contributes to the existing literature on the effect of malaria disease on agricultural gross domestic product in Nigeria so as to help in developing more effective approaches towards reducing its negative affect on agriculture as well as its eradication in the country. 1. INTRODUCTION Nigeria is a West African nation. It is situated in the Gulf of Guinea, stretching between Latitudes 4 0 and 14 0 North. The country has a land mass of about 924 000 km 2 . It is the fourteenth largest country in Africa and also the most populous nation in Africa; the eighth most populous country in the world, with an estimated total population of 158 million (World Population Prospects, 2008). A large percentage of the agrarian population (rural population) in Nigeria has been plagued with several disease conditions which have deleterious consequence on their health and productivity. One of such intractable diseases of the agrarian population is malaria. Nigeria is among malaria endemic countries located in the Sub-Saharan Africa and Asian Development Policy Review ISSN(e): 2313-8343/ISSN(p): 2518-2544 URL: www.aessweb.com