Copyright © The Author(s). All Rights Reserved © GLOBAL PUBLICATION HOUSE |INT. Journal of Business Management |
Weli, C. I., Okereke. E.J., & Nnamdi, I. S.
Department of Finance and Banking, Faculty of Management Sciences, University of Port Harcourt, Nigeria
FINANCIAL DEVELOPMENT AND ECONOMIC GROWTH: A
CAUSAL ANALYSIS
A B S T R A C T
This study sought to analyze the nature of the causal relationship that prevails in the two largest
economies in Sub-Saharan Africa- Nigeria and South Africa between 1996 and 2020. The study follows the
recommendations of the World Bank Global Financial Development index, to measure financial
development from its four dimensions, by institutions and markets. These include depth (money supply
and stock market capitalization), access (bank branches and value of stocks outside top ten), efficiency
(interest rate spread and stock turnover), and stability (capital to asset ratio and stock price volatility).
These served as the explanatory variables. The explained variable is gross domestic product growth rate as
a measure of economic growth. The Granger causality test is employed for analysis. The results reveal that
only in South Africa did a unidirectional causal relationship exist, flowing from economic growth to
financial stability (stock price volatility). In the case of Nigeria, no causal relationship was found. The
study concluded that demand-following financial development was what prevailed in South Africa, while
the Independent stage hypothesis holds in Nigeria. The study recommended that more financial
instruments and products such as mobile banking schemes be created and made available to help mop more
cash in circulation into the formal financial system. Also, growth board schemes initiated to encourage the
listing of companies with high growth potential on the exchange must be enhanced.
K E Y W O R D S
Financial development, Causality, Economic growth.
Manuscript ID: #0535
Vol. 05 Issue 01 Jan - 2022
Corresponding author: *Weli, C. I.
Email: welichiso@yahoo.com
Page 01 of 18
This work is licensed under Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
E-ISSN 2795-3257
P-ISSN 2795-3236
Doi:https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.6748916