Open Peer Review on Qeios Growth, Instability and Trend Analysis of Rice Production Indicators in Nigeria Edamisan Stephen Ikuemonisan 1 , Seyi Ayomide Olaoba 1 , Adeyose Emmanuel Akinbola 1 1 Adekunle Ajasin University Funding: No specific funding was received for this work. Potential competing interests: No potential competing interests to declare. Abstract Purpose The research looked at the trends and decomposition of milled rice production indicators in Nigeria. Research Method It relied on secondary-time series data on rice output, yield, and cultivated area) obtained from the FAOSTAT database. The data ranged from 1960/61 to 2019/20 production cycle. The descriptive statistics, compound annual growth rate (CAGR), decomposition analysis, and Instability Index were used to analyze the data (II). Findings The highest yield performance (2.38 tonnes/ha) came between 1978 and 1992. The cultivated area increased steadily during the study period. The study found that time trend significantly influenced changes in harvested area, yield, and rice production at 1%, with CAGR values of 15%, 1%, and 16% between 19660-61 and 2019-20, indicating some weaknesses in Nigeria's rice yield during this period. Increased rice harvested area effect was the primary source of growth during the period, according to the decomposition analysis (1961-2020). The area effect on rice production in Nigeria was found to be 58%, compared to 2% for the yield effect and 40% for the interaction, implying that increased Qeios, CC-BY 4.0 · Article, November 13, 2023 Qeios ID: EUANPE · https://doi.org/10.32388/EUANPE 1/14