SSRG International Journal of Geo-informatics and Geological Science Volume 10 Issue 1, 29-35, Jan-Apr 2023
ISSN: 2393–9206 / https://doi.org/10.14445/23939206/IJGGS-V10I1P103 © 2023 Seventh Sense Research Group®
This is an open access article under the CC BY-NC-ND license (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/)
Original Article
Modeling River Discharge using Deep Learning in
the Ouémé catchment at Savè outlet (Benin, West
Africa)
Zohou Pierre Jérôme
1,2,3,4
, Biao Iboukoun Eliézer
,4,5
, Aoga John
1,3
, Houessou Oscar
5
, Alamou
Adéchina Eric
4,5
, Eugène C.Ezin
1,3
1
Université d’Abomey-Calavi (UAC), Bénin.
2
Chaire Internationale en Physique Mathématique et Applications (CIPMA-Chaire UNESCO), UAC, Bénin.
3
Laboratoire de Recherche en Sciences Informatiques et Applications (LRSIA), UAC, Bénin
4
Laboratoire d’Hydrologie Appliquée (LHA), UAC, Bénin
5
Université Nationale des Sciences, Technologies, Ingénierie et Mathématiques (UNSTIM), Abomey, Bénin
Received: 22 February 2023 Revised: 25 March 2023 Accepted: 08 April 2023 Published: 20 April 2023
Abstract - This paper presents a modeling approach based on Artificial Neural Networks (ANNs) in the Ouémé river catchment
at Savè. To do this, we used precipitation data as input over the period 1965 -2010 to simulate river discharge in the study
area by using two ANNs models such as the Long Short Term Memory (LSTM) and Recurrent Gate Networks (GRU) models.
Indeed, the description of the stochastic nature of the data is better presented today by ANNs models than the statistical models.
We compared the performance of these two models based on different evaluation criteria. The predictions made using these
models show a strong similarity between the observed and simulated flows. The deep learning models gave good results.
Indeed, in calibration and validation, the Nash Sutcliffe Efficiency (NSE) and the coefficient of determination (R²) are very
close to one (calibration: R²= 0.995, NSE= 0.991, and RMSE= 0.18; validation: R² = 0.975, NSE= 0.971, and RMSE= 0.41).
This good performance of LSTM and GRU confirms the importance of models based on Artificial Intelligence in modeling
hydrological phenomena for better decision-making.
Keywords - Artificial Neural Networks, Modeling, Ouémé catchment at Savè, Long Short Term Memory, Gated Recurrent Unit.
1. Introduction
Precipitation is a natural phenomenon and is generally
the largest contributor to the water balance in a watershed.
They comprise drizzle, ice, frost, snow, hail, sleet, and rain.
However, in West Africa, specifically in Benin, rain feeds the
water tables and the various rivers [8]. However, excessive
rainfall leads to natural disasters such as flooding. It is,
therefore, necessary to better control the phenomenon of
precipitation, and this requires its modelling. Over the past
few decades, fully data-driven (empirical) models have
begun to emerge with breakthroughs in new deep-learning
methods in runoff prediction [11]. These breakthroughs were
mainly made possible by the availability of large volumes of
water-related data. We propose using recurrent neural
networks models such as LSTM and GRU to model the
rainfall-runoff relationship. To achieve this, we will optimize
the hyperparameters of the models, simulate the river
discharge at the outlet of the catchment area and finally
evaluate the performance of the recurrent neural network
models.
2. Materials and Methods
The Ouémé is a river that covers at Bonou, the most
advanced station before the Delta, an area of 46,990
2
. It
rises at the foot of Atacora, in the Djougou region, crosses
Benin towards the coast, and flows into Lake Nokoué, just
north of Cotonou (Fig. 1). It is thus the longest river in Benin,
draining more than a third of the territory alone. The Ouémé
basin at Savè (09°12’N; 02°16’E) is the area whose data are
used in this project. Its natural outlet, located a few
kilometers downstream from the confluence of the Ouémé
with the Yérou-Maro, is the Bétérou station, created in 1952;
the area covered by the Ouémé in Bétérou is 10,475
2
.
Precipitation data used comes from Météo-Bénin
(National Meteorological Agency of Benin), while the
National Directorate of Water (DG-Eau) provides the river
discharge data. The study area contains seven rainfall stations
(Savè, Ouesse, Kokoro, Tchaourou, Bassila, Penessoulou,
Toui) covering the period from 1965 to 2010.