164
Authors’ Note: We would like to thank participants of the Academy of Criminal Justice Sciences 44th
Annual Meeting and Paul J. Brantingham for helpful comments. The usual disclaimer applies.
Criminal Justice
Policy Review
Volume 19 Number 2
June 2008 164-180
© 2008 Sage Publications
10.1177/0887403407311591
http://cjp.sagepub.com
hosted at
http://online.sagepub.com
Crime Prevention and the
Science of Where People Are
Martin A. Andresen
Simon Fraser University, Burnaby, BC, Canada
Greg W. Jenion
Kwantlen University College, Surrey, BC, Canada
Crime prevention initiatives are often conceptualized working at primary-secondary-
tertiary (PST) levels. Primary prevention efforts address the underlying social, economic,
and physical environmental conditions that generate crime; secondary prevention efforts
focus on people, places, and social conditions that are at high risk of crime; whereas
tertiary prevention efforts are directed toward already existing and specific crime problems.
This article discusses the uses of the ambient population (a 24-hr average estimate of
the population present in a spatial area) to better inform crime prevention initiatives
within the PST framework. Though the results indicate the ambient population has utility
for all three levels of crime prevention, the most immediate use is in tertiary prevention
to better understand the nature of areas with a current crime problem. This information is
not available from the resident (or census) population because the resident population
indicates where people sleep, not where they are.
Keywords: ambient population; crime prevention; PST model
C
rime is a complex phenomenon that occurs when an offender, a victim, and a
law converge in time and space (Brantingham & Brantingham, 1981). Despite
general classifications of crime (property crime, violent crime, white-collar crime,
or nuisance crime), its cumulative impact has many monetary and psychological
costs: property loss, insurance, law enforcement, the judiciary, corrections, victim-
ization, and safety (Brantingham & Easton, 1998; Sharpe, 2000). As such, crime
prevention or crime reduction can have positive effects on society (United Nations
Economic and Social Council, 2002). Correspondingly, many evidence-based crime
prevention activities (see Sherman, Farrington, Welsh, & MacKenzie, 2002) aspire
to prevent the convergence of an offender and a victim in time and space.
The definition of crime prevention has eluded broad definitional acceptance by
academics (Lab, 1997, 2004; Tilley, 2005), but its abundant use in society continues
to be an area that is pursued by academics, practitioners, and governments alike.
Aside from the obvious need for crime data in crime prevention activities, other
environmental data such as roads, shopping centers, and land use may prove to be