Original Research
Monitoring public interest toward pertussis
outbreaks: an extensive Google Trendsebased
analysis
V. Gianfredi
a
, N.L. Bragazzi
b,*
, M. Mahamid
c,d
, B. Bisharat
c,d,e
,
N. Mahroum
f
, H. Amital
f
, M. Adawi
g
a
School of Specialization in Hygiene and Preventive Medicine, Department of Experimental Medicine, University of
Perugia, Perugia, Italy
b
Postgraduate School of Public Health, Department of Health Sciences (DISSAL), University of Genoa, Genoa, Italy
c
EMMS Nazareth Hospital, Nazareth, Israel
d
Azrieli Faculty of Medicine, Bar-Ilan University, Safed, Israel
e
The Society for Health Promotion of the Arab Community, The Max Stern Yezreel Valley College, Nazareth, Israel
f
Zabludowicz Center for Autoimmune Diseases, Department of Medicine B, Sheba Medical Center, And Sackler
Faculty of Medicine, Tel Aviv University, Ramat Gan, Israel
g
Padeh and Ziv Medical Centers, Azrieli Faculty of Medicine, Bar-Ilan University, Zefat, Israel
article info
Article history:
Received 21 May 2018
Received in revised form
22 July 2018
Accepted 5 September 2018
Keywords:
Pertussis
Google Tends
Infodemiology
Fast data
Big data
abstract
Objectives: Pertussis is a vaccine-preventable disease. Despite this, it remains a major
health problem among children in developing countries and in recent years, has re-
emerged and has led to considerable outbreaks. Pertussis surveillance is of paramount
importance; however, classical monitoring approaches are plagued by some shortcomings,
such as considerable time delay and potential underestimation/underreporting of cases.
Study design: This study aims at investigating the possibility of using Google Trends (GT) as
an instrument for tracking pertussis outbreaks to see if infodemiology and infoveillance
approaches could overcome the previously mentioned issues because they are based on
real-time monitoring and tracking of web-related activities.
Methods: In the present study, GT was mined from inception (01 January 2004) to 31
December 2015 in the different European countries. Pertussis was searched using the
‘search topic’ strategy. Pertussis-related GT figures were correlated with the number of
pertussis cases and deaths retrieved from the European Centre for Disease prevention and
Control database.
Results: At the European countries level, correlation between pertussis cases and GT-based
search volumes was very large (ranging from 0.94 to 0.97) from 2004 to 2015. When
examining each country, however, only a few reached the threshold of statistical
significance.
* Corresponding author. Postgraduate School of Public Health, Department of Health Sciences (DISSAL), University of Genoa, Via Antonio
Pastore 1, Genoa 16132, Italy.
E-mail address: robertobragazzi@gmail.com (N.L. Bragazzi).
Available online at www.sciencedirect.com
Public Health
journal homepage: www.elsevier.com/puhe
public health 165 (2018) 9 e15
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.puhe.2018.09.001
0033-3506/© 2018 The Royal Society for Public Health. Published by Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.