Citation: Di Ludovico, M.; De
Martino, G.; Manfredi, V.; Masi, A.;
Prota, A.; Sorrentino, L.; Zucconi, M.
Loss Functions for the Risk
Assessment of Residential Buildings.
Buildings 2023, 13, 2817. https://
doi.org/10.3390/buildings13112817
Academic Editor: Kwangbok Jeong
Received: 8 September 2023
Revised: 21 October 2023
Accepted: 31 October 2023
Published: 10 November 2023
Copyright: © 2023 by the authors.
Licensee MDPI, Basel, Switzerland.
This article is an open access article
distributed under the terms and
conditions of the Creative Commons
Attribution (CC BY) license (https://
creativecommons.org/licenses/by/
4.0/).
buildings
Article
Loss Functions for the Risk Assessment of
Residential Buildings
Marco Di Ludovico
1,
*, Giuseppina De Martino
1
, Vincenzo Manfredi
2
, Angelo Masi
2
, Andrea Prota
1
,
Luigi Sorrentino
3
and Maria Zucconi
4
1
Department of Structures for Engineering and Architecture, University of Naples Federico II, Via Claudio 21,
80125 Naples, Italy; giuseppina.demartino2@unina.it (G.D.M.); aprota@unina.it (A.P.)
2
School of Engineering (SI-UniBas), University of Basilicata, Via dell’Ateneo Lucano 10, 85100 Potenza, Italy;
vincenzo.manfredi@unibas.it (V.M.); angelo.masi@unibas.it (A.M.)
3
Department of Structural and Geotechnical Engineering, Sapienza—University of Rome, Via Antonio
Gramsci 53, 00197 Roma, Italy; luigi.sorrentino@uniroma1.it
4
Department of Engineering, University Niccolò Cusano, Via Don Carlo Gnocchi 3, 00166 Roma, Italy;
maria.zucconi@unicusano.it
* Correspondence: diludovi@unina.it
Abstract: Within the ReLUIS 2019–2021 research project (Network of the University Laboratories of
Seismic Engineering) supported by the Civil Protection Department (DPC), the Work Package WP4
“Seismic Risk and Damage Maps at National scale—MARS” aimed to update the 2018 version of the
National Risk Assessment (NRA). One of the goals of the WP4—MARS was to collect, analyse and
upgrade loss models to estimate direct economic losses, unusable buildings and casualties (Task 4.4—
“Risk: evaluation of consequences and economic losses”). Task 4.4 aimed to carry out a critical review
of the models available in the literature and subsequently specific comparisons to better understand
the capability and reliability of the different models, in particular those adopted to calculate the
seismic losses in the 2018 NRA. Furthermore, the derivation of new models in order to improve the
results of the previous study was another goal of the project. The paper focuses on the assessment and
calibration of models and tools to derive human casualties (deaths and injured) and usability rating as
well as repair costs and population assistance costs associated with residential buildings damaged by
seismic actions. In detail, the available literature on Casualty Estimation Models (CEMs) is analysed,
and an updated model is calibrated to estimate human casualties for the Italian context. The model
emphasises a relationship between the casualties and the severity of the damage. A strong correlation
exists between the post-earthquake usability of buildings, damage state (DS), repair costs and time
required to assist the population. According to data collected in the reconstruction processes of recent
Italian earthquakes, fragility curves in terms of loss-of-usability for partially unusable and unusable
buildings and the correlation between usability ratings (immediately available post-earthquake)
and DS (easily computable by using existing empirical- or mechanical-based fragility functions) are
defined. Finally, consequence functions able to associate direct costs (repair costs) and indirect costs
(population assistance) have been calibrated as a function of buildings’ usability or damage state.
Keywords: direct and indirect losses; consequence functions; casualties; usability; damage states
1. Introduction
The evaluation of risk maps at a large scale is a challenging and crucial task to define
effective mitigation policies and to correctly predict potential future losses. Within the
activities of the ReLUIS (Network of the University Laboratories of Seismic Engineering)
consortium, which operates as a competence centre of the Department of Civil Protection
(DPC), special care has been devoted in these years to the development of fragility and
loss functions for the risk assessment of residential and portfolio buildings. In particular,
the 2019–2021 research project, Work Package, WP4 “Seismic Risk and Damage Maps at
Buildings 2023, 13, 2817. https://doi.org/10.3390/buildings13112817 https://www.mdpi.com/journal/buildings