Citation: Hanbashi, K.; Iqbal, Z.;
Mignard, D.; Pritchard, C.; Djokic,
S.Z. Modelling and Validation of
Typical PV Mini-Grids in Kenya:
Experience from RESILIENT Project.
Energies 2023, 16, 3203. https://
doi.org/10.3390/en16073203
Academic Editor: Frede Blaabjerg
Received: 14 February 2023
Revised: 24 March 2023
Accepted: 28 March 2023
Published: 2 April 2023
Copyright: © 2023 by the authors.
Licensee MDPI, Basel, Switzerland.
This article is an open access article
distributed under the terms and
conditions of the Creative Commons
Attribution (CC BY) license (https://
creativecommons.org/licenses/by/
4.0/).
energies
Article
Modelling and Validation of Typical PV Mini-Grids in Kenya:
Experience from RESILIENT Project
Khalid Hanbashi , Zafar Iqbal, Dimitri Mignard, Colin Pritchard and Sasa Z. Djokic *
Institute for Energy Systems, School of Engineering, The University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh EH9 3FB, UK
* Correspondence: sasa.djokic@ed.ac.uk
Abstract: PV-based mini-grids are identified as a feasible and, often, only economically viable option
for the electrification of Kenyan remote and scattered rural areas, where connection to the national
grid is challenging, and the related costs are high, if not prohibitive. This paper presents the analysis
of typical Kenyan PV mini-grids by using some results of the work in the project “Reliable, Efficient
and Sustainable Mini-Grids for Rural Infrastructure Development in Kenya (RESILIENT)”. After
presenting average annual and seasonal daily load profiles of residential and small commercial
mini-grid customers identified from the measured demands, the paper introduces the main mini-grid
components and their models, including a simplified, but reasonably accurate, model of a mini-
grid battery storage system based on the manufacturer’s charge–discharge curves. All mini-grid
components are assembled in a scalable and easily reconfigurable simulation model of an actual
Kenyan PV mini-grid, and they are implemented for the evaluation of PV mini-grid performance and
the potential for expansion and connection of additional residential and small commercial customers.
During the validation of the developed simulation model using available measurement data, an
empirical approach for adjusting the PV system output power is specified for a more accurate match
with the measurements. The presented results indicate the importance of the information on the actual
control algorithms and control settings of the mini-grid energy management systems, on the thermal
dependencies and characteristics of both PV generation system and battery storage system, and on
the availability of on-site measurements of temperature and input solar irradiance. The developed PV
mini-grid model can be used for further analyses, such as to study the techno-economic performance
of different mini-grid configurations, to identify the optimal sizing of mini-grid components, and to
specify efficient control and operation schemes based on the locally available resources.
Keywords: battery energy storage; load profile; microgrid; mini-grid; performance evaluation; PV
generation; satellite weather database; solar irradiance
1. Introduction
1.1. Context and Motivation
The republic of Kenya has set ambitious targets in its long-term development plan
(“Kenya Vision 2030”): to achieve universal access to electricity by 2030, as well as to
ensure reliable, clean, and affordable energy for all citizens [1,2]. In recent years, despite
the challenges posed by the COVID-19 pandemic, Kenya has maintained progress towards
universal electricity access, which is estimated to currently be at 75% [3]. Since 2018,
this effort has been underpinned by the Kenya National Electrification Strategy (KNES),
which specifies a multifaceted electrification strategy of both on-grid and off-grid energy
generation systems. Amongst the latter, the KNES includes stand-alone solar home systems,
commonly denoted as “pico-grids”, and isolated microgrids, commonly denoted as “mini-
grids” [2]. In particular, mini-grids are often identified as the only economically viable
option for the electrification of remote and scattered rural areas, where connection to the
national grid is challenging and the related costs are high, if not prohibitive. There is also
evidence suggesting that, even in the areas that are relatively close to the national grid,
Energies 2023, 16, 3203. https://doi.org/10.3390/en16073203 https://www.mdpi.com/journal/energies