RESEARCH ARTICLE
The transformed gamma process for degradation
phenomena in presence of unexplained forms of unit‐to‐unit
variability
Massimiliano Giorgio
1
| Maurizio Guida
2,3
| Gianpaolo Pulcini
3
1
Department of Industrial and
Information Engineering, Università della
Campania “Luigi Vanvitelli”, Aversa, CE,
Italy
2
Department of Information Engineering,
Electrical Engineering and Applied
Mathematics, University of Salerno,
Fisciano, SA, Italy
3
Istituto Motori, National Research
Council (CNR), Naples, Italy
Correspondence
M. Giorgio, Department of Industrial and
Information Engineering, Università della
Campania “Luigi Vanvitelli,” Via Roma
29, 81031 Aversa (CE), Italy.
Email: massimiliano.
giorgio@unicampania.it
Funding information
Ministero dell'Istruzione, dell'Università e
della Ricerca (Italy), Grant/Award Num-
ber: PON03PE_00159_6
Abstract
The transformed gamma process is a suitable model for degradation phenom-
ena where damages accumulate gradually over time in a sequence of tiny incre-
ments. Attractiveness of the transformed gamma process mainly lies in the fact
that it provides a relatively easy way for dealing with phenomena in which the
degradation increments over disjoint time intervals are not independent. The
transformed gamma process is also a very flexible model. In fact, it is indexed
by 2 functions, the “age function” and the “state function,” whose mathemati-
cal form can be chosen ad hoc for modeling the dependence of the future deg-
radation increment of a unit on its current age and state, respectively. In this
paper, the transformed gamma process is adopted to describe the degradation
paths of degrading units in the presence of an unexplained form of unit‐to‐unit
variability. The degradation path of each unit is described via a transformed
gamma process. Heterogeneity among paths of different units is accounted for
by assuming that the scale parameters of the age and state functions vary ran-
domly from unit to unit. Under these assumptions, a quite mathematically trac-
table model is obtained. The main properties of the proposed model are
discussed, and inferential procedures based on the maximum likelihood crite-
rion are implemented. A simple test is presented to check the goodness of fit
of the proposed model. Three applicative examples, based on real degradation
data, are developed.
KEYWORDS
degradation processes, dependent increments, maximum likelihood estimation, random effects,
transformed gamma process
1 | INTRODUCTION
The transformed gamma (TG) process was initially pro-
posed in Giorgio et al.
1
Such a process can be viewed as
a generalization of the very popular gamma process,
which is nested within it. In fact, the TG process can be
obtained from the gamma process via a non‐linear state
transformation. As the gamma process (see for example
Abdel‐Hameed,
2
van Noortwijk
3
), the TG process can be
used to describe degradation phenomena caused by con-
tinuous use, where degradation growth takes place gradu-
ally over time in a sequence of tiny increments, such as
wear, chemical corrosion, consumption, fatigue, and so
on. Attractiveness of the TG process, with respect to
widely adopted independent increments degradation pro-
cesses, such as the gamma, the Wiener, and the inverse
Received: 1 February 2017 Revised: 24 October 2017 Accepted: 26 December 2017
DOI: 10.1002/qre.2271
Qual Reliab Engng Int. 2018;1–20. Copyright © 2018 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. wileyonlinelibrary.com/journal/qre 1