Journal of Forestry, 2021, 557–563
doi:10.1093/jofore/fvab032
Brief Communication - social sciences
Received December 31, 2020; Accepted April 26, 2021
Advance Access publication May 21, 2021
557 © The Author(s) 2021. Published by Oxford University Press on behalf of the Society of American Foresters.
All rights reserved. For permissions, please e-mail: journals.permissions@oup.com.
Brief Communication - social sciences
Piloting a Climate-Change Adaptation Index on
US National Forest Lands
Michael R. Coughlan, Heidi Huber-Stearns, and Courtney Schultz
Michael R. Coughlan (mcoughla@uoregon.edu) and Heidi Huber-Stearns (hhuber@uoregon.edu), Institute for a
Sustainable Environment, University of Oregon, 130 Hendricks Hall, 5247 University of Oregon, Eugene, Oregon,
USA. Courtney Schultz (courtney.schultz@colostate.edu), Public Lands Policy Group, Department of Forest and
Rangeland Stewardship, Colorado State University, Fort Collins, Colorado, USA.
Abstract
Climate change presents a novel and signifcant threat to the sustainability of forest ecosystems
worldwide. The United States Forest Service (USFS) has conducted climate change vulnerability
assessments for much of the 193 million acres of national forest lands it manages, yet little to no
research exists on the degree to which management units have adopted considerations of climate
change into planning or project implementation. In response to this knowledge gap, we piloted
a survey instrument in USFS Region 1 (Northern region) and Region 6 (Pacifc Northwest region)
to determine criteria for assessing the degree to which national forests integrate climate-change
considerations into their management planning and activities. Our resulting climate-change adap-
tation index provides an effcient quantitative approach for identifying where, how, and, poten-
tially, why some national forests are making more progress toward incorporating climate-change
adaptations into forest planning and management.
Study Implications: We used a self-assessment survey of planners and managers on US National
Forests in Forest Service Regions 1 and 6 to design a climate change adaptation index for measuring
the degree to which national forests units have integrated considerations of climate change into
their planning and management activities. Our resulting index can potentially be used to help
understand how and why the USFS’s decentralized climate-change adaptation strategy has led
some national forests to make comparatively signifcant progress towards adapting to climate
change while others have lagged behind.
Keywords: Climate-change adaptation, forest planning and management, factor analysis
Climate change presents a novel and signifcant threat
to the sustainability of forest ecosystems worldwide
(McCarthy et al. 2001, Pachauri and Reisinger 2008).
Forest management and planning must not only
account for the expected impacts from temperature
warming, elevated CO
2
, and increased climate vari-
ability, but also more indirect effects of climate change
such as the spread of invasive species and the increased
frequency and severity of ecological disturbances such
as wildfres and insect and pathogen outbreaks (Vose
and Klepzig 2014, Backlund 2008, Lawler 2009). The
United States Forest Service (USFS) is the federal land
management agency in charge of the National Forest
System comprised of 78 million hectares (193 million
acres) of public lands organized into 155 National
Forest and 20 National Grassland management
units. In anticipation of the need to respond to cli-
mate change in national forests, the USFS developed a
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