Contents lists available at ScienceDirect
International Journal of Law, Crime and Justice
journal homepage: www.elsevier.com/locate/ijlcj
Juvenile delinquency risk factors: Individual, social, opportunity or
all of these together?
Antonella Bobbio
a,b,∗,1
, Karin Arbach
a,b,2
, Santiago Redondo Illescas
c,3
a
Universidad Nacional de Córdoba. Facultad de Psicología, Córdoba, Argentina
b
Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Tecnológicas, Instituto de Investigaciones Psicológicas. Córdoba, Argentina
c
Universidad de Barcelona, Departamento de Psicología Clínica y Psicobiología, Spain
ARTICLE INFO
Keywords:
Triple risk for delinquency model
Juvenile delinquency
Criminal risk
Criminal motivation
Criminal opportunities
ABSTRACT
There is extensive literature on risk factors leading to criminal behavior. However, most of these
studies have been conducted in European and Anglo-Saxon countries, and there are few analo-
gous studies in Latin America. Our main aim was to analyze whether the criminal risk level
estimated from the interaction between antisocial motivation and criminal opportunities helps to
diferentiate between adolescents with and without delinquent behavior (as proposed in the
Triple Risk for Delinquency Model). We measured both ofcial and self-reported antisocial be-
havior in a sample of 211 young people in Argentina. The results show a signifcant association
between delinquency and personal, social and opportunity risk factors. Also, it was possible to
diferentiate between adolescents with and without ofcial and self-reported antisocial behavior
with high sensitivity and specifcity, based on the estimation of criminal risk levels. We discuss
the relevance and implications of these fndings within the particular context of this study.
1. Introduction
Violence and juvenile delinquency cause great social concern throughout the world (Krug et al., 2002; Marshall and Enzmann,
2012), including Latin America, where there are countries with the highest crime rates on the planet. Although Argentina may be
considered one of the safest Latin American countries, it still has much higher delinquency rates than those of North America, Europe
and Oceania. In the case of victims or aggressors who are children and young people, these rates triple (UNODC, 2013).
Every year in Argentina, about 4000 adolescents from 14 to 17 years old are institutionalized for committing crimes (UNICEF and
SeNAF, 2015). Of these, around 15% are from the province of Córdoba, the context of this study (which has a rate of institutionalized
juvenile delinquents of around 477/100,000). Many are sentenced for robberies (up to 80%), but also for injuries, sexual assault and
homicide (Centro de Estudios y Proyectos Judiciales, 2016).
However, the juvenile crimes reported in ofcial records represent only a part of the total number of ofences committed by young
people. To know more precisely the overall magnitude of juvenile delinquency, complementary methods such as self-report
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ijlcj.2020.100388
Received 25 June 2019; Received in revised form 2 December 2019; Accepted 25 February 2020
∗
Corresponding author. Facultad de Psicología, Universidad Nacional de Córdoba, Argentina. Enfermera Gordillo esq. Enrique Barrios, Ciudad
Universitaria, Instituto de Investigaciones Psicológicas, Córdoba (5000), Argentina.
E-mail addresses: antonellabobbio@hotmail.com (A. Bobbio), k_arbach@hotmail.com (K. Arbach),
s.redondoillescas@gmail.com (S. Redondo Illescas).
1
Afliation address: Enfermera Gordillo esq. Enrique Barros, Facultad de Psicología, IIPSI, 5000, Córdoba, Argentina.
2
Afliation address: Enfermera Gordillo esq. Enrique Barros, Facultad de Psicología, Box B9, 5000, Córdoba, Argentina.
3
Afliation address: Passeig de la Vall d'Hebron, 171, 6th Floor, 08035, Barcelona, España.
International Journal of Law, Crime and Justice xxx (xxxx) xxxx
1756-0616/ © 2020 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.
Please cite this article as: Antonella Bobbio, Karin Arbach and Santiago Redondo Illescas, International Journal of Law, Crime
and Justice, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ijlcj.2020.100388