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© 2020 by the authors; licensee Asian Online Journal Publishing Group
Asian Journal of Economics and Empirical Research
Vol. 7, No. 1, 64-73, 2020
ISSN(E) 2409-2622: / ISSN(P) 2518-010X
DOI: 10.20448/journal.501.2020.71.64.73
© 2020 by the authors; licensee Asian Online Journal Publishing Group
Dynamic Effect of Public Expenditure on Oil Producing Economy: An Empirical
Evidence from Nigeria
Iyabo A. Olanrele
Economics and Business Policy Department, Nigerian Institute of Social and Economic Research (NISER)
Nigeria.
Abstract
The paper examines the economic growth effect of government expenditure in Nigeria employing
annual data from 1970 to 2017. Specifically, the study examines the short- and long-term effect of
Federal Government total, recurrent, and capital expenditure on the real Gross Domestic Product
(GDP). Different from the existing literature, the paper also shows the extent of oil sector
integration, at the sectoral level, by investigating the effect of government expenditure on the
agriculture and manufacturing sectors. The analysis was carried out using the Autoregressive
Distribute Lag (ARDL) technique. Empirical results show that the aggregate government
spending has a positive effect on the real GDP on the short and long-run. Mixed outcomes were
realized when the effect of government expenditure on agricultural and manufacturing sector
outputs were considered. In the short-run, total government expenditure cause agriculture sector
output to decline. The long-run accumulated government spending leads to an increase in the
agricultural sector output. The total government expenditure exerts a negative effect on the
manufacturing sector output in the short-run. The effect was positive in the long-run. Outcomes
from analyzing the differential effect of expenditure types on the real GDP show that capital
expenditure had no impact on the real GDP, while government recurrent expenditure had a
positive significant impact. Thus, efforts should be geared towards increasing capital spending for
commensurate integration of oil benefits in the Nigerian economy.
Keywords: Government expenditure, Oil-producing economy, Sectoral output, Recurrent expenditure, Capital expenditure, Nigeria.
JEL Classification: E60; E62.
Citation | Iyabo A. Olanrele (2020). Dynamic Effect of Public
Expenditure on Oil Producing Economy: An Empirical Evidence
from Nigeria. Asian Journal of Economics and Empirical Research,
7(1): 64-73.
History:
Received: 27 November 2019
Revised: 10 January 2020
Accepted: 17 February 2020
Published: 31 March 2020
Licensed: This work is licensed under a Creative Commons
Attribution 3.0 License
Publisher: Asian Online Journal Publishing Group
Funding: This study received no specific financial support.
Competing Interests: The author declares that there are no conflicts of
interests regarding the publication of this paper.
Transparency: The author confirms that the manuscript is an honest,
accurate, and transparent account of the study was reported; that no vital
features of the study have been omitted; and that any discrepancies from the
study as planned have been explained.
Ethical: This study follows all ethical practices during writing.
Contents
1. Introduction ...................................................................................................................................................................................... 65
2. Government Expenditure and the Nigerian Economy ............................................................................................................. 65
3. Literature Review ............................................................................................................................................................................ 66
4. Data and Methodology ................................................................................................................................................................... 67
5. Analysis of Results and Discussions............................................................................................................................................. 68
6. Conclusion ......................................................................................................................................................................................... 71
References .............................................................................................................................................................................................. 71
Appendices ............................................................................................................................................................................................. 71