Research Article
Studying the Safety Impact of Autonomous Vehicles Using
Simulation-Based Surrogate Safety Measures
Mark Mario Morando,
1
Qingyun Tian,
2
Long T. Truong ,
1
and Hai L. Vu
1
1
Monash Institute of Transport Studies, Department of Civil Engineering, Monash University, Melbourne, VIC, Australia
2
School of Civil and Environmental Engineering, Nanyang Technological University, Singapore
Correspondence should be addressed to Long T. Truong; long.truong@monash.edu
Received 30 November 2017; Revised 11 February 2018; Accepted 20 February 2018; Published 22 April 2018
Academic Editor: Abdelaziz Bensrhair
Copyright © 2018 Mark Mario Morando et al. Tis is an open access article distributed under the Creative Commons Attribution
License, which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is properly
cited.
Autonomous vehicle (AV) technology has advanced rapidly in recent years with some automated features already available in
vehicles on the market. AVs are expected to reduce trafc crashes as the majority of crashes are related to driver errors, fatigue,
alcohol, or drugs. However, very little research has been conducted to estimate the safety impact of AVs. Tis paper aims to
investigate the safety impacts of AVs using a simulation-based surrogate safety measure approach. To this end, safety impacts are
explored through the number of conficts extracted from the VISSIM trafc microsimulator using the Surrogate Safety Assessment
Model (SSAM). Behaviours of human-driven vehicles (HVs) and AVs (level 4 automation) are modelled within the VISSIM’s car-
following model. Te safety investigation is conducted for two case studies, that is, a signalised intersection and a roundabout, under
various AV penetration rates. Results suggest that AVs improve safety signifcantly with high penetration rates, even when they
travel with shorter headways to improve road capacity and reduce delay. For the signalised intersection, AVs reduce the number
of conficts by 20% to 65% with the AV penetration rates of between 50% and 100% (statistically signifcant at < 0.05). For
the roundabout, the number of conficts is reduced by 29% to 64% with the 100% AV penetration rate (statistically signifcant at
< 0.05).
1. Introduction
Autonomous vehicle (AV) technology has advanced signif-
icantly in recent years. Automakers have already provided
vehicles with some automated features (e.g., self-parking) and
crash avoidance features such as automated braking, forward
collision warning, lane departure warning, and blind spot
monitoring [1, 2]. AV testing and piloting have begun in
various countries. By 2014, AV testing on roadways has been
legalised in four states in the US. In Australia, AV testing has
been frst introduced in South Australia’s roadways in 2016
[3]. Te market penetration rate of AVs is estimated to be
between 24% and 87% by 2045 [4, 5].
AVs have the potential to signifcantly improve road
safety as the majority of crashes are related to driver errors,
fatigue, alcohol, or drugs [6–8]. It is also expected that AVs
can travel with shorter headways due to improved safety,
leading to increased road and intersection capacities [9, 10].
AVs would also provide improved mobility to the disabled,
those who are too young to drive, and older people [11].
Other potential benefts of AVs include enhanced productive
use of travel time, fewer emissions, better fuel efciency, and
reduced parking costs [12, 13].
Implementing AVs within the road network has the
potential to signifcantly reduce the number of crashes caused
by the drivers through the gradual removal of human control
[12]. Already, many vehicle manufacturers are increasing the
implementation of features such as adaptive cruise control
and parking assistance that enables the vehicle to park itself
with minimal human intervention [14]. Many of these driver
assistance features are partially automated, meaning that
driver intervention is still required. Although the implemen-
tation of automated features has increased in recent years,
fully AVs are yet to be legally deployed on a large scale within
the road network globally. Safety benefts of fully AVs would
not be maximised without a high penetration rate of AVs [12].
Hindawi
Journal of Advanced Transportation
Volume 2018, Article ID 6135183, 11 pages
https://doi.org/10.1155/2018/6135183