Original article
Determining Risk Factors that
Diminish Asset Quality of Indian
Commercial Banks
Onkar Shivraj Swami
1
B. Nethaji
1
Jyoti Prakash Sharma
1
Abstract
Controlling higher level of non-performing loans (NPLs) has become one of the key objectives of the
Reserve Bank of India (RBI), as it may impact banking and macroeconomic stability adversely. In this
respect, the present study tries to determine risk factors that diminish asset quality of Indian commercial
banks in and around the asset quality review period. Pooled and panel logit model has been employed to
examine the determinants of NPLs. We find that banks with lower level of capital, reduced profitability,
less diversified portfolio, poor operating and managerial efficiency are at greater risk of having diminished
asset quality, whereas the size of the bank is positively linked with the higher level of NPAs. In general,
empirical analysis proposes that to identify the bank whose asset quality is likely to deteriorate well in
advance, the Regulatory and Supervisory Department of the Central Bank may consider lower level of
capital, deteriorating profitability and poor operational efficiency as a leading indicator.
Keywords
Asset quality, non-performing loans, bank-specific determinants, logit model, Indian banks
Introduction
Sound asset quality is considered as one of the indicators of financially stable bank. Non-performing
loan (NPL)/non-performing asset (NPA) represents the degree of bank’s assets eroded. Deterioration in
asset quality of the banks indicates faults in the banking system and, if not addressed prudently, may lead
to the financial crisis. Problems with bank’s asset quality are usually assumed to lower profitability.
Because NPAs provide diminished interest revenue and are at risk for failure to return loan principal,
they reduce its earnings ability. Worsening asset quality of the bank may decline economic activity and
efficiency and hamper the social welfare of the nation by impeding growth (Ghosh, 2015). Indeed,
Global Business Review
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© 2019 IMI
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DOI: 10.1177/0972150919861470
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Disclaimer: The views expressed in this study are of the authors and not of the institution to which they belong.
1
Department of Banking Regulation, Reserve Bank of India, Mumbai, India.
Corresponding author:
Onkar Shivraj Swami, Banking Policy Division, Department of Banking Regulation, Central Offce, Reserve Bank of India, Mumbai,
Maharashtra 400001, India.
E-mail: oswami@rbi.org.in