Annals of Clinical and Analytical Medicine 194 Annals of Clinical and Analytical Medicine Original Research Sedat Bostan 1 , Gokhan Agac 2 , Saime Şahinöz 3 1 Department of Healthcare Management, Faculty of Health Sciences, Ordu University, Ordu 2 Department of Healthcare Management, Faculty of Health Sciences, Gümüşhane University, Gümüşhane 3 Department of Internal Medical Sciences, Faculty of Medicine, Ordu University, Ordu, Turkey Course of COVID-19 pandemic in Turkey Efect of precautionary and normalization steps on course of COVID-19 pandemic in Turkey DOI: 10.4328/ACAM.20413 Received: 2020-11-26 Accepted: 2020-12-26 Published Online: 2021-01-07 Printed: 2021-06-15 Ann Clin Anal Med 2021;12(Suppl 2): S194-200 Corresponding Author: Gokhan Agac, Department of Healthcare Management, Faculty of Health Sciences, Gümüşhane University, 29100, Gümüşhane, Turkey. E-mail: gokhanagacc@gmail.com P: +90 5455246370 F: +90 4562331179 Corresponding Author ORCID ID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-4753-4689 Abstract Aim: The COVID-19 pandemic began in China and has now spread across the whole world, and many countries such as Turkey are still fghting against this pandemic. The aim of this study was to investigate the impact of precautionary and normalization steps taken by the Turkish government on the number of confrmed cases, current cases, and deaths due to the COVID-19 in Turkey. Materials and Methods: The study used exponential regression models to estimate the number of confrmed cases, deaths, and current cases. The study data were collected from the Turkish Ministry of Health, Turkish Ministry of Internal Afairs, and the national public broadcaster of Turkey. Results: The precautions taken during the COVID-19 pandemic have caused the exponentially increasing number of cases to be brought under control and to decrease exponentially. The normalization steps taken paused the exponential decrease in the number of cases and caused the number of cases to remain fat during the summer months and then rise again. If the normalization steps were not implemented and the precautions taken continued in the same way, it was calculated that the numbers of COVID-19 current cases would be reset on June 26, 2020. The total number of deaths would remain at 4423 and the total number of confrmed cases would be 150586. Discussion: As a result, the impact of precautionary and normalization steps on the course of the COVID-19 pandemic was examined. It has been observed that the impact of these steps on the pandemic is exponential. The results provide guidelines for health authorities and administrators to take necessary precautions. Keywords COVID-19 pandemic; Turkey; Case estimation; Precautions; Normalization steps