Journal of Environmental Radioactivity 220-221 (2020) 106302
Available online 16 May 2020
0265-931X/© 2020 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.
Adaptation of the RODOS system for analysis of possible sources of Ru-106
detected in 2017
Ivan V. Kovalets
a, b, *
, Oleksandr Romanenko
c
, Roman Synkevych
a
a
Institute of Mathematical Machines & Systems Problems, NAS of Ukraine, Prosp. Glushkova, 42, 03187, Kyiv, Ukraine
b
Ukrainian Center of Environmental & Water Projects, Prosp. Glushkova, 42, 03187, Kyiv, Ukraine
c
Rivne Nuclear Power Plant, National Nuclear Energy Generating Company “Energoatom”, 34400, Rivne Oblast, Ukraine
A R T I C L E INFO
Keywords:
Source term estimation
Atmospheric dispersion
RODOS
JRODOS
Ru-106
Ruthenium
ABSTRACT
In this work, we present a method to use the European nuclear emergency response system RODOS for analysis of
potential sources of airborne radioactivity of an unknown origin. The method is based on a solution of adjoint
equations, without modification of the code of long-range atmospheric dispersion model MATCH used in RODOS.
The method has been successfully applied to the Ru-106 accident of 2017. The obtained spatial distribution of
the correlation between simulations and measurements which could be achieved with source located in a given
place, is in a qualitative agreement with analogous results published in other works. The high correlation is
centered on the Ural Mountains; this is explained by a very wide expansion of the plume. However, the location
of the maximum correlation obtained in this work is in the northern part of Russia, close to a military test site on
Novaya Zemlya. This location is far away from the reprocessing plant Mayak in the South-Eastern Urals
mentioned in other investigations as the most probable location of the source. In the results presented here, the
correlation at the source location corresponding to the Mayak plant is still quite high (0.49); release inventory
from this source of about 300 TBq could explain the observed measurements.
1. Introduction
In late September - early October 2017, European and other stations
reported detection of ruthenium-106 (Masson et al., 2019). The detected
cloud was very large, it covered a big part of Eurasia from Norway to
Kuwait and from Germany to East Siberia (Fig. 1). The source of this
radionuclide was unclear. At the time of the accident, the International
Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) collected measurements from many
countries (IAEA, 2017) and coordinated exchange of information be-
tween them. Immediately after the accident, several research teams
looked for a potential source of the Ru-106 using mathematical simu-
lations (Kovalets, 2017; Kovalets and Romanenko, 2017; Sørensen,
2018; Saunier et al., 2019; Hamburger and Gering, 2019; Bossew et al.,
2019).
The EU nuclear emergency response system RODOS is a software tool
designed for forecasting atmospheric transport of radionuclides from a
local to planetary scale (Landman et al., 2014a). It is used in many
countries in Europe, and it was widely applied to forecast consequences
of different radiological accidents such as Fukushima and others
(Landman et al., 2014b). However, this system does not include software
tools for inverse transport simulations, such as backward trajectories
analysis or adjoint equations solving to identify unknown sources of
radioactive contamination. Despite this, it is possibile to use RODOS for
identification of unknown sources. It was used in several studies iden-
tifying contamination sources. In particular, one of the first simulation
results showing the map of potential sources of the Ru-106 accident in
2017 was obtained with the RODOS system (Kovalets, 2017; Kovalets
and Romanenko, 2017; Hamburger and Gering, 2019). In this work, we
describe the approach of solving adjoint equations with the RODOS
system (without modifying its source code) and subsequently solving the
source identification (or inverse) problem. We describe results of
application of this approach to the analysis of possible sources of Ru-106
detected in 2017.
2. Method of source term identification with RODOS
In this work, we use the redesigned Java-version of the RODOS
system – JRODOS (Ievdin et al., 2010) that among others contains the
long-range Eulerian atmospheric transport model (ATM) MATCH
(Robertson and Langner, 1999; Robertson, 2010). Kovalets et al. (2014)
* Corresponding author. Institute of Mathematical Machines & Systems Problems, NAS of Ukraine, prosp. Glushkova, 42, 03187, Kyiv, Ukraine.
E-mail address: ik@env.com.ua (I.V. Kovalets).
Contents lists available at ScienceDirect
Journal of Environmental Radioactivity
journal homepage: http://www.elsevier.com/locate/jenvrad
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jenvrad.2020.106302
Received 6 March 2020; Received in revised form 28 April 2020; Accepted 5 May 2020