Glycated hemoglobin A1C level and the risk of diabetic retinopathy in
Africa: A systematic review and meta-analysis
Wondimeneh Shibabaw Shiferaw
a, *
, Tadesse Yirga Akalu
c
, Melaku Desta
b
,
Ayelign Mengesha Kassie
d
, Pammla Margaret Petrucka
e
, Hilina Ketema Assefa
a
,
Yared Asmare Aynalem
a
a
Department of Nursing, College of Health Science, Debre Berhan University, Ethiopia
b
Department of Midwifery, College of Health Science, Debre Markos University, Ethiopia
c
Department of Nursing, College of Health Science, Debre Markos University, Ethiopia
d
Department of Nursing, College of Health Science, Woldia University, Ethiopia
e
College of Nursing, University of Saskatchewan, Academics without Borders, Canada
article info
Article history:
Received 5 August 2020
Received in revised form
30 September 2020
Accepted 2 October 2020
Keywords:
Diabetic retinopathy
Retinopathy
Glycemic control
Glycated hemoglobin
Africa
abstract
Background and aims: Diabetic retinopathy is a frequent cause of acquired blindness worldwide. Various
studies have reported the effects of glycemic control on the risk of diabetic retinopathy, but the results
remain inconclusive. Therefore, this meta-analysis was performed to determine the association between
glycated hemoglobin A1C levels and diabetic retinopathy in Africa.
Methods: A systematic search was performed using the PubMed, African Journals Online, Google Scholar,
Scopus, and Wiley Online Library from inception to June 11, 2020, for observational studies addressing
the association of hemoglobin A1c levels with diabetic retinopathy. The I
2
statistic was used to check
heterogeneity across the included studies. A random-effects model was applied to estimate the pooled
effect size (OR) and respective 95% confidence interval across studies. A funnel plot and Egger’s
regression test were used to determine the presence of publication bias. Sensitivity analysis was used to
determine the effect of a single study on the overall estimation. All statistical analyses were performed
using STATA™ Version 14 software.
Result: A total of 23 articles with 18,099 study participants were included in this meta-analysis. In the
present review, when HbA1c was analyzed as a categorical variable, poor glycemic control (HbA1c >7%)
was associated with an increased risk of diabetic retinopathy when compared with good glycemic
control (OR ¼ 1.25; 95% CI; 1.14,1.38). Similarly, when HbA1c was analyzed as a continuous variable, a
higher HbA1c was associated with an increased risk of diabetic retinopathy (MD: 0.42, 95% CI; 0.11,0.98).
Conclusion: Our meta-analysis indicated evidence for poor glycemic control as an independent risk
factor for the development of diabetic retinopathy in patients with diabetes mellitus. Therefore, the
authors suggest that clinicians should advise their patients with diabetes to maintain their HbA1c levels
within the normal range.
© 2020 Diabetes India. Published by Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.
1. Background
Globally, the burden of diabetes mellitus (DM) is rising
dramatically and reaching epidemic proportions [1]. According to
the World Health Organization (WHO) estimations, there were
approximately 422 million adults living with diabetes mellitus
globally [2], while the International Diabetes Federation (IDF) es-
timates 425 million people were affected in 2017 with projection of
629 million by 2045 [3]. Approximately 80% of affected individuals
live in low- and middle-income countries [4]. In Sub-Saharan Africa
(SSA), more than 12 million people have diabetes, and there are
330,000 diabetes-related deaths annually, yet less than 1% of health
expenditure is allocated for diabetes [5]. It has become a chronic
Abbreviations: ADA, America diabetic association; DR, diabetic retinopathy; DM,
diabetes mellitus; HbA1c, glycated hemoglobin level; IDF, International Diabetes
Federation; NOS, Newcastle-Ottawa Scale; MOOSE, Meta-analysis Of Observational
Studies in Epidemiology; WHO, World Health Organization.
* Corresponding author. P.O. Box 445, Debre Berhan University, Ethiopia.
E-mail address: wshibabaw2015@gmail.com (W.S. Shiferaw).
Contents lists available at ScienceDirect
Diabetes & Metabolic Syndrome: Clinical Research & Reviews
journal homepage: www.elsevier.com/locate/dsx
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.dsx.2020.10.003
1871-4021/© 2020 Diabetes India. Published by Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.
Diabetes & Metabolic Syndrome: Clinical Research & Reviews 14 (2020) 1941e1949