Citation: Gumar, A.K.; Demir, F.
Solar Photovoltaic Power Estimation
Using Meta-Optimized Neural
Networks. Energies 2022, 15, 8669.
https://doi.org/10.3390/en15228669
Academic Editors: Manolis Souliotis
and Abu-Siada Ahmed
Received: 18 October 2022
Accepted: 11 November 2022
Published: 18 November 2022
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energies
Article
Solar Photovoltaic Power Estimation Using Meta-Optimized
Neural Networks
Ali Kamil Gumar * and Funda Demir
Department of Mechatronics Engineering, Faculty of Engineering, Karabuk University, 78050 Karabuk, Turkey
* Correspondence: alikamilgumar@gmail.com
Abstract: Solar photovoltaic technology is spreading extremely rapidly and is becoming an aiding tool
in grid networks. The power of solar photovoltaics is not static all the time; it changes due to many
variables. This paper presents a full implementation and comparison between three optimization
methods—genetic algorithm, particle swarm optimization, and artificial bee colony—to optimize
artificial neural network weights for predicting solar power. The built artificial neural network was
used to predict photovoltaic power depending on the measured features. The data were collected
and stored as structured data (Excel file). The results from using the three methods have shown that
the optimization is very effective. The results showed that particle swarm optimization outperformed
the genetic algorithm and artificial bee colony.
Keywords: artificial neural network (ANN); artificial bee colony (ABC); genetic algorithm (GA);
particle swarm optimization (PSO); solar photovoltaic (PV)
1. Introduction
The progress and development of any city depends on the production, use, and
safe storage of energy. Energy dependency is increasing more with the advancement of
automation techniques and growth in industrial areas. The main source of electricity is
fossil fuels, which are directly detrimental to the climate [1]. The use of fossil-based fuels in
highly demanding energy production by the population causes many problems, such as
global warming, which leads to undesired situations such as rising sea levels, drought in
agricultural areas, changes in the global climate, and the scarcity of energy resources [2].
Previously, economists and environmentalists have supported climate agreements and
adopted cleaner energy sources, which are greener, cheaper, and more efficient, to meet the
growing global energy demand. Clean energy, which includes renewable energy, especially
solar photovoltaic (PV) and wind energy, is a free energy fuel for the global energy market.
PV systems convert solar energy into ready-to-use electrical energy, which is the reason
for the great interest in them recently. Solar PV energy has become the most prominent
concern globally because it represents a free fuel source for the global energy market. It
is one of the solutions for avoiding the risks of climate change and global warming and
to serve consumers [3]. It has been determined that the amount of solar energy available
to the planet is larger than available oil and coal reserves [4]. Governments must support
investments and provide the necessary incentives to improve PV usage and reduce any
negative effects on the solar energy sector. Governments have also been called on to
recognize that solar energy outside the system is an essential service [5]. Expectations
indicate that electricity produced from solar energy will become cheaper than other energy
sources by 2025 [6].
PV has some undesired points; PV energy exhibits great randomness due to weather
conditions, which is mainly affecting the production of PV energy when it is extensively
connected with electrical supplies and distribution networks. Therefore, accurate and
reliable solar PV forecasting is a very important aspect of the safe and economical operation
Energies 2022, 15, 8669. https://doi.org/10.3390/en15228669 https://www.mdpi.com/journal/energies