Forecast of the number of new patients and
those who died from COVID-19 in Bahrain
Anastasiia-Olha Strontsitska
Department of Automated Control
Systems
Institute of Computer Sciences and
Information Technologies
Lviv Polytechnic National
University
Lviv, Ukraine
anastia.stronts@gmail.com
Olena Pavliuk
Department of Automated Control
Systems
Institute of Computer Sciences and
Information Technologies
Lviv Polytechnic National
University
Lviv, Ukraine
olena.m.pavliuk@lpnu.ua
Roman Derkachuk
Department of Automated Control
Systems
Institute of Computer Sciences and
Information Technologies
Lviv Polytechnic National
University
Lviv, Ukraine
roman.derkachuk.kn.2016@lpnu.ua
Ruslan Dunaev
Department of Automated Control
Systems
Institute of Computer Sciences and
Information Technologies
Lviv Polytechnic National
University
Lviv, Ukraine
hecksr@i.ua
Abstract— A review of the COVID-19 pandemic in Bahrain
has been conducted. Correlations between the parameters
describing the coronavirus pandemic have been established.
Partially lost data was supplemented by polynomial functions,
as well as by linear approximation. The number of those who
suffered and those who died from COVID-19 was predicted
using SGTM neural-like structure topologies supervised mode.
Keywords— COVID-19, Bahrain, ANN, SGTM neural-like
structure, forecast of the number of new patients, forecast those
who died from COVID-19, matrix of correlations between
parameters, linear approximation
I. INTRODUCTION
The COVID-19 pandemic in Bahrain is part of the 2019
global coronavirus pandemic (COVID-19) caused by severe
acute coronavirus 2 respiratory syndrome (SARS-CoV-2). It
was confirmed that the virus reached Bahrain on February
21, 2020. The decision to extend the restrictive measures in
Bahrain that were introduced due to the danger of the
further spread of coronavirus were made by the authorities
of the kingdom on 22
nd
of April. The ban on the work of
cinemas, sports facilities, hookah bars, restaurants was
prolonged. Bahrain residents will continue to be required to
wear masks in public.
Bahrain has set up an appropriate National Working
Group, the Bahrain Team, to combat the spread of the
COVID-19 virus and has taken steps to ensure the
immediate installation of COVID-19 test agents. Bahrain
has one of the highest COVID-19 disease revealed by
testing rates, so that it was at first praised by the World
Health Organization (WHO) for its professional response to
this quickly-spreading illness. The Bahrain Kingdom is
ready to take further action to avoid the spread of the virus.
In addition, the Government of Bahrain provides support to
individuals and companies through a comprehensive
package of incentives for the economy which sums up to
approximately 11.4 billion dollars.
Despite all seemingly responsible attitude to the well-
being of its citizens, as a mini-state with direct ties to Saudi
Arabia and indirectly to the United States, Bahrain viewed
every internal, regional and global problem and threat,
including the current pandemic, through an Iranian-Saudi-
American prism. The COVID pandemic has highlighted
economic, social, and religious issues in the country that the
ruling family has been unable to resolve, and often
exacerbated in recent years. Moreover, migrant workers -
mainly from India, Bangladesh, Pakistan and the Philippines
– present nearly 40 percent of the total population. Apart
from the skilled and semi-skilled Indian workers segment,
the vast majority of migrant workers have low-paid jobs and
are at the bottom of the economic ladder. They have no job
security, suffer from inadequate medical care. Many of the
migrant workers were unable to keep social distancing in
their cramped apartments and were forced to go outside in
search of food. Because they could not go to grocery stores
or order food online, many of them had to beg for food due
to insufficient food resources. Bahrain, like some of its
neighbors, is said to soon face a day of reckoning in the
post-COVID era with a lack of foreign workers who usually
do most of the dirty work in the country that Bahraini
people are unwilling to do. The coronavirus exposed the
status and mistreatment of foreign workers in Bahrain. The
unfortunate experience of some of these workers during the
COVID lockdown will make them less likely to either stay
2020 International Conference on Decision Aid Sciences and Application (DASA)
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2020 International Conference on Decision Aid Sciences and Application (DASA) | 978-1-7281-9677-0/20/$31.00 ©2020 IEEE | DOI: 10.1109/DASA51403.2020.9317122