RESEARCH ARTICLE
An objective definition of seasons for the Mediterranean
region
George Kotsias
1
| Christos J. Lolis
1
| Nikolaos Hatzianastassiou
1
|
Piero Lionello
2
| Aristides Bartzokas
1
1
Laboratory of Meteorology, Department
of Physics, University of Ioannina,
Ioannina, Greece
2
Department of Biological and
Environmental Sciences and
Technologies, University of Salento,
Lecce, Italy
Correspondence
George Kotsias, Laboratory of
Meteorology, Department of Physics,
University of Ioannina, 45110 Ioannina,
Greece.
Email: g.kotsias@uoi.gr
Abstract
An objective definition of seasons for the Mediterranean region is performed
using the mean intra-annual variations of 12 climatological parameters. The
aim is to achieve a climatologically appropriate determination of the onset and
cessation dates, as well as the duration, of each season, better than the conven-
tional seasons (winter, spring, summer and autumn). Moreover, possible
changes of the defined seasons during the 70-year study period 1949–2018 are
investigated over the climatologically sensitive Mediterranean region. The data
used are daily NCEP/NCAR Reanalysis grid point values of precipitation rate,
convective precipitation rate, 2 m temperature, total cloud cover, 2 m zonal
and meridional wind, 500 and 1,000 hPa geopotential height, 500 and 850 hPa
temperature, 850 hPa specific humidity and precipitable water over the Medi-
terranean region, for the period 1949–2018. Firstly, Principal Component Anal-
ysis is applied to the mean intra-annual variations of the above parameters in
order to reduce the dimensionality and then k-means Cluster Analysis is
applied to the resultant Principal Components in order to group dates with
similar regimes of the above parameters. This methodology is applied for the
70-year period 1949–2018 as well as for the five overlapping 30-year subperiods
1949–1978, 1959–1988, 1969–1998, 1979–2008, and 1989–2018. According to
the results, four seasons are defined for all periods. Although these seasons
correspond to the four conventional seasons, there are differences regarding
the onset and cessation dates and the duration. In general, it is found that win-
ter lasts about 4 months, spring and summer are a little shorter than 3 months
and autumn lasts about 2.5 months. The most remarkable long-term changes
are: (a) the warming during the last 30-year period, which agrees with the
ongoing climate change, (b) the shortening of winter and spring due to the
delay of their onset date, and (c) the extension of autumn due to the delay of
its cessation date.
KEYWORDS
cluster analysis, definition of seasons, Mediterranean climate, principal component analysis
Received: 17 February 2020 Revised: 21 July 2020 Accepted: 24 August 2020
DOI: 10.1002/joc.6819
Int J Climatol. 2020;1–17. wileyonlinelibrary.com/journal/joc © 2020 Royal Meteorological Society 1