Bayesian approaches
to the weighted
kappa-like inter-rater
agreement measures
Journal Title
XX(X):2–33
©The Author(s) 2016
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DOI: 10.1177/ToBeAssigned
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SAGE
Quoc Duyet Tran
1,2
, Haydar Demirhan
2
and Anil Dolgun
2
Abstract
Inter-rater agreement measures are used to estimate the degree of agreement
between two or more assessors. When the agreement table is ordinal, different
weight functions that incorporate row and column scores are used along with the
agreement measures. Selection of row and column scores are effectual on the
estimated degree of agreement. The weighted measures are prone to the anomalies
frequently seen in agreement tables such has unbalanced table structure or grey
zones due to the assessment behaviour of the raters. In this study, Bayesian
approaches for the estimation of inter-rater agreement measures are proposed. The
Bayesian approaches make it possible to include prior information on the assessment
behaviour of the raters in the analysis and impose order-restrictions on the row and
column scores. In this way, we improve the accuracy of the agreement measures and
mitigate the impact of the anomalies in the estimation of the strength of agreement
between the raters. The elicitation of prior distributions is described theoretically and
practically for the Bayesian estimation of five agreement measures with three different
weights using an agreement table having two grey zones. A Monte Carlo simulation
study is conducted to assess the classification accuracy of the Bayesian and classical
approaches for the considered agreement measures for a given level of agreement.
Recommendations for the selection of the highest performing agreement measure
and weight combination are made in the break down of the table structure and sample
size.
Keywords
Agreement table, Prior distribution, Order restriction, Ordinal data, Rater, Weighted
kappa.
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