International Journal of Engineering, Business and Management (IJEBM)
ISSN: 2456-7817
[Vol-8, Issue-3, Jul-Sep, 2024]
Issue DOI: https://dx.doi.org/10.22161/ijebm.8.3
Article Issue DOI: https://dx.doi.org/10.22161/ijebm.8.3.1
Int. j. eng. bus. manag.
www.aipublications.com Page | 1
External Debt and Economic Growth: Empirical Evidence
from Developing Countries
Nechirwan Burhan Ismael, Shamal Hasan Obaid Mahmod, Hariwan Subhi Khorsheed
Department of Accounting, Cihan University – Duhok, Duhok, Kurdistan Region, Iraq.
Received: 15 Jul 2024; Received in revised form: 07 Aug 2024; Accepted: 12 Aug 2024; Available online: 17 Aug 2024
©2024 The Author(s). Published by AI Publications. This is an open access article under the CC BY license
(https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/)
Abstract— This study investigates the complex relationship between external debt and economic growth in
developing countries. Utilizing a quantitative research methodology, data was collected from three selected
developing countries through an online questionnaire distributed to key stakeholders, totaling 189 responses.
Various statistical techniques, including t-tests, Chi-square tests, Variance Inflation Factor (VIF)
assessment, Partial Least Squares Regression (PLS), and Principal Component Analysis (PCA), were
employed to analyze the data. The findings reveal that moderate levels of external debt can positively impact
economic growth, while excessive debt levels are detrimental. Effective debt management practices and
strong institutional frameworks significantly enhance the positive effects of external debt. The study also
highlights the adverse impact of external economic shocks on the debt-growth relationship. Key predictors
of economic growth identified include external debt levels, debt management practices, and institutional
quality. These factors underscore the importance of maintaining sustainable debt levels, implementing robust
debt management strategies, and improving governance to optimize the benefits of external borrowing. The
study concludes with recommendations for policymakers to maintain sustainable debt levels, negotiate
favorable borrowing terms, and develop risk management strategies to mitigate external shocks. Limitations
of the study include the reliance on data from three countries and the cross-sectional design. Future research
should consider longitudinal studies, broader samples, sector-specific analyses, qualitative approaches, and
the impact of global economic changes. Overall, this study provides valuable insights into the dynamics of
external debt and economic growth in developing countries, offering guidance for policy formulation and
economic planning to promote sustainable development.
Keywords— External Debt, Economic Growth, Debt Management, Institutional Quality
I. INTRODUCTION
The relationship between external debt and economic
growth has been a topic of considerable debate and research,
especially in the context of developing countries. External
debt, defined as the portion of a country's debt that is
borrowed from foreign lenders, including commercial
banks, governments, or international financial institutions,
plays a crucial role in the economic development of these
nations. While external debt can provide the necessary
capital for investment in infrastructure, education, and other
essential sectors, it also poses significant risks if not
managed prudently (Law et al., 2021).
External borrowing is a common source of financing for
developing countries, to fill in the savings and investment
gap. By boosting productive capacities and technological
innovation, such capital flows can also theoretically help to
strengthen growth. On the other hand, debt overhang could
arise due to reliance on external debts as well; where burden
of servicing these loans becomes so considerable that it
retards economic growth. This rather paradoxical situation
underlines the critical significance of knowing how external
debt dynamics has shapen and continue to shape economic
performance (Tajammal and Butt, 2024). This study is
therefore Responding to the Empirical Divergence on
Foreign Debt Impact on Economic Growth in Developing
Countries. In fact, some researchers even suggest that
external debt at moderate levels can be an enabler of growth
if accompanied by good macroeconomic policies and
effective management arrangements. Others argue, on the
other hand, that outsized external debt can fuel economic