doi: 10.29382/eqs-2018-0005-5
Seismic electric signals in seismic prone areas
*
Nicholas V. Sarlis
1,2
,
*
Panayiotis A. Varotsos
1,2
Efthimios S. Skordas
1,2
Seiya Uyeda
3
Jacques Zlotnicki
4
Toshiyasu Nagao
5
Anatoly Rybin
6
Mary S. Lazaridou-Varotsos
2
Konstantina A. Papadopoulou
1
1
Section of Solid State Physics, Department of Physics, National and Kapodistrian University of Athens, Panepistimiopolis,
Zografos 157 84, Athens,Greece
2
Solid Earth Physics Institute, Department of Physics, National and Kapodistrian University of Athens, Panepistimiopolis,
Zografos 157 84, Athens, Greece
3
Section II, Division 4, Japan Academy, Tokyo, 110-0007, Japan
4
EMSEV (http://www.emsev-iugg.org/emsev/) and CNRSDR7, Observatoire de Physique du Globe de Clermont-Ferrand,
Laboratoire Magmas et Volcans, 5 rue Kessler 63000 Clermont Ferrand, France
5
EMSEV (http://www.emsev-iugg.org/emsev/) and Institute of Oceanic Research and Development, Tokai University, Shizuoka
424-0902, Japan
6
Research Station RAS, Bishkek-49, Kyrgyzstan
Abstract The Varotsos-Alexopoulos-Nomicos
(VAN) method of short-term earthquake prediction was
introduced in the 1980s. The VAN method enables estimation
of the epicenter, magnitude and occurrence time of an
impending earthquake by observing transient changes of the
electric field of the Earth termed seismic electric signals
(SES). Here, we present a few examples of SES observed in
various earthquake prone areas worldwide.
Keywords: seismic electric signals; VAN method; earthquake
prediction; EMSEV-Bishkek RS-RAS cooperation
1 Introduction
Varotsos-Alexopoulos-Nomicos (VAN) method indi-
cates major earthquakes (EQs) are preceded by transient
changes of the Earth’s electric field termed seismic electric
signals (SES) (Varotsos and Alexopoulos, 1984a, b).
The motivation of the present paper is as follows: In
general, a short term earthquake prediction method is of
course more useful if it can be applied to seismic prone
areas of different geological and tectonic environment.
Thus, here we recapitulate various seismic areas at which
SES experimentation has long been performed and include
also those areas at which relevant experiments have
recently started.
In Section 2, discrimination of SES from noise and the
properties of SES useful for EQ prediction are summarized.
In Sections 3, 4, 5, and 6, we focus on SES that have
been recorded in Greece, SES and SES-like signals
observed in Japan, China and Mexico, respectively.
Finally in Section 7, we present possible SES recorded
in Kyrgyzstan during the recent collaboration between the
IAGA-IASPEI-IAVCEI Inter Association Working Group
on Electromagnetic Studies of Earthquakes and Volcanoes
(EMSEV http://www.emsev-iugg.org/emsev/) and the
Bishkek Research Station of the Russian Academy of
Sciences (RS-RAS http://www.gdirc.ru/en/) in Kyrgyzstan.
2 Background on seismic electric
signals
2.1 Distinction of SES from noise
The simultaneous use of several long and short
measuring dipoles with different directions and lengths
was found necessary and effective for distinction of SES
from noise. The fact that SES are emitted in the
preparation volume of the future EQ usually at a distance
of the order of 100 km away from the field station is
exploited against to other sources such as magneto-telluric
(MT), lightning or man-made artificial noises. Varotsos
and Lazaridou (1991) showed that for SES the values of
ratio ΔV/L for parallel measuring dipoles (ΔV is potential
difference and L is length) are approximately the same. In
* Received 31 January 2017; accepted in revised form 28 January
2018; published 15 April 2018.
* Corresponding author. e-mail: nsarlis@phys.uoa.gr
© The Seismological Society of China and Institute of Geophysics,
China Earthquake Administration 2018
Earthq Sci (2018)31: 44–51 44