Citation: Al-Quraan, A.; Al-Mhairat,
B.; Malkawi, A.M.A.; Radaideh, A.;
Al-Masri, H.M.K. Optimal Prediction
of Wind Energy Resources Based on
WOA—A Case Study in Jordan.
Sustainability 2023, 15, 3927. https://
doi.org/10.3390/su15053927
Academic Editor: Mohamed
A. Mohamed
Received: 3 January 2023
Revised: 3 February 2023
Accepted: 16 February 2023
Published: 21 February 2023
Copyright: © 2023 by the authors.
Licensee MDPI, Basel, Switzerland.
This article is an open access article
distributed under the terms and
conditions of the Creative Commons
Attribution (CC BY) license (https://
creativecommons.org/licenses/by/
4.0/).
sustainability
Article
Optimal Prediction of Wind Energy Resources Based on
WOA—A Case Study in Jordan
Ayman Al-Quraan
1,
* , Bashar Al-Mhairat
1
, Ahmad M. A. Malkawi
2
, Ashraf Radaideh
1
and Hussein M. K. Al-Masri
1
1
Electrical Power Engineering Department, Hijjawi Faculty for Engineering Technology, Yarmouk University,
Irbid 21163, Jordan
2
Mechatronics Engineering Department, The University of Jordan, Amman 11942, Jordan
* Correspondence: aymanqran@yu.edu.jo or aymanqran@yahoo.com
Abstract: The average wind speed in a given area has a significant impact on the amount of energy
that can be harvested by wind turbines. The regions with the most attractive possibilities are typically
those that are close to the seaside and have open terrain inland. There is also good potential in several
mountainous locations. Despite these geographical restrictions on where wind energy projects can be
located, there is enough topography in most of the world’s regions to use wind energy projects to
meet a significant amount of the local electricity needs. This paper presents a new method of energy
prediction of wind resources in several wind sites in Jordan, which can be used to decide whether a
specific wind site is suitable for wind farm installation purposes. Three distribution models, Weibull,
Gamma and Rayleigh, were employed to characterize the provided wind data. Different estimation
methods were used to assign the parameters associated with each distribution model and the optimal
parameters were estimated using whale optimization algorithms which reduce the error between
the estimated and the measured wind speed probability. The distribution models’ performance was
investigated using three statistical indicators. These indicators were: root mean square error (RMSE),
coefficient of determination (R
2
), and mean absolute error (MAE). Finally, using the superlative
distribution models, the wind energy for the chosen wind sites was estimated. This estimation was
based on the calculation of the wind power density (E
D
) and the total wind energy (E
T
) of the wind
regime. The results show that the total wind energy ranged from slightly under 100 kWh/m
2
to
nearly 1250 kWh/m
2
. In addition, the sites recording the highest estimated wind energy had the
optimum average wind speed and the most symmetrical distribution pattern.
Keywords: performance indicator; power density; probability distribution function; whale optimiza-
tion algorithm; wind energy estimation; Gamma approach
1. Introduction
Currently, renewable energy is a crucial and essential need to mitigate the hazards
caused by fossil fuels. Although the global capacity of renewable energy in 2019 was 2588
GW, the percentage of electricity generation from renewable resources was about 27.3%
versus 72.7% for traditional resources [1]. Therefore, all essential steps must be taken by
governments worldwide to support these strategies.
One of the most highly developed sectors in the field of renewable energy is the
wind energy sector. In 2015, 63.8 GW of wind power capacity was installed in networks
throughout the globe, recording the greatest yearly increase in the capacity of wind power
generation. In 2019, the second largest yearly increase in the capacity of wind power
generation was recorded with a value of 60 GW [1,2].
The climate of Jordan enhances the utilization of renewable energy sources. It contains
various locations that are appealing for wind energy investment. However, Jordan is still
93% dependent on its energy from gas and oil imported from other countries. In 2018,
Sustainability 2023, 15, 3927. https://doi.org/10.3390/su15053927 https://www.mdpi.com/journal/sustainability