Int J Lab Hematol. 2020;00:1–5. wileyonlinelibrary.com/journal/ijlh | 1 © 2020 John Wiley & Sons Ltd
1 | INTRODUCTION
Assessment of organ failure and mortality risk in critically ill patients
is possible through Systemic Organ Failure Assessment (SOFA) and
APACHE II scores. According to the results of prospective studies,
1-3
higher SOFA score is associated with increased mortality. APACHE
II score is based on 17 physical and laboratory parameters as well as
from data on personal history.
4,5
Received: 4 June 2020
|
Revised: 16 June 2020
|
Accepted: 15 July 2020
DOI: 10.1111/ijlh.13308
ORIGINAL ARTICLE
Improvement of mortality prediction accuracy in critically ill
patients through combination of SOFA and APACHE II score
with markers of stress haematopoiesis
Michaela Macichová
1
| Monika Grochová
2
| Oliver Rácz
3
| Jozef Firment
2
|
Miriam Mitníková
1
| Jaroslav Rosenberger
4
| Jana Šimonová
2
| Vladimir Hudák
2
1
Clinical Hematology Unit, Department
of Laboratory Medicine, Louis Pasteur
University Hospital, Košice, Slovakia
2
1st Department of Anesthesiology and
Intensive Medicine, Medical School,
Louis Pasteur University Hospital, Šafárik
University, Košice, Slovakia
3
Medical School, Institute of Pathological
Physiology, Šafárik University, Košice,
Slovakia
4
Nephrological and Dialysis Centre
Fresenius, Košice, Slovakia
Correspondence
Oliver Rácz, Medical School, Institute of
Pathological Physiology, Šafárik University,
Košice, Slovakia.
Email: olliracz@gmail.com
Abstract
Introduction: In critically ill patients nucleated red blood cells (NRBC) and immature
granulocytes (IG) appear in the peripheral blood as the consequence of stress hae-
matopoesis. The aim of this retrospective study was to evaluate the diagnostic value
of NRBC and IG and to propose a model of improved mortality prediction including
these parameters in the assessment of critically ill patients.
Methods: The study included 338 critically ill adult patients hospitalized at
Department of Anaesthesiology and Intensive Medicine, Louis Pasteur University
Hospital in Kosice. As NRBC positive patients were considered patients with periph-
eral NRBC > 0.01 × 10
9
/L and IG positivity as >0.03 × 10
9
/L. Apache II index was
calculated 24 hours after admission and Systemic Organ Failure Assessment (SOFA)
on the day with the worst clinical condition.
Results: NRBC positivity was found in 27.6% of patients. The mortality of NRBC posi-
tive patients was 48.38%, significantly higher than 23.7% of NRBC negative patients.
IG positivity was 79.0% and their mortality was also higher as compared with that of
IG negative patients (69.3% vs 33.8%). Three regression models predicting mortality
including stress haematopoiesis markers, APACHE II, SOFA scores and age had suf-
ficient level of sensitivity and specificity.
Conclusion: The presence of NRBC in the peripheral blood and the IG increase are
available early risk predictors of mortality in critically ill patients. Regression models
designed by combination of SOFA, APACHE II, and the new haematological param-
eters increase the accuracy and effectivity of diagnostic process in predicting prog-
nosis and risk of mortality with high sensitivity and specificity.
KEYWORDS
critical conditions, haematopoiesis, immature granulocytes, nucleated red blood cells