UC Riverside Cliodynamics Title Linking “Micro” to “Macro” Models of State Breakdown to Improve Methods for Political Forecasting Permalink https://escholarship.org/uc/item/1xt9k875 Journal Cliodynamics, 8(2) Authors Turchin, Peter Gavrilets, Sergey Goldstone, Jack A. Publication Date 2017 DOI 10.21237/C7clio8237429 License https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/ 4.0 Peer reviewed eScholarship.org Powered by the California Digital Library University of California