Economic Affairs, Vol. 63, No. 2, pp. 473-479, June 2018
DOI: 10.30954/0424-2513.2.2018.25
©2018 New Delhi Publishers. All rights reserved
Vulnerability to Climate Change: Review of Conceptual
Framework
N. Laitonjam
1
, Ram Singh
2
and S.M. Feroze
3
Scholar in Agricultural Extension, School of Social Sciences, College of Post Graduate Studies, CAU, Umiam, Meghalaya, India
Corresponding author: ramsingh.cau@gmail.com
ABSTRACT
The paper presents a conceptual framework on vulnerability to climate change. Vulnerability is a multi-
dimensional process and is calculated by identifying the indicators of exposure, sensitivity and adaptive
capacity. Among the components of vulnerability, exposure followed by sensitivity has the highest
contribution but they cannot be controlled directly as the climatic factors that influence vulnerability
like temperature, rainfall and natural disasters were beyond the immediate control of policy makers. The
only option to reduce vulnerability is to increase adaptive capacity. Hence, policy makers should make
arrangement for increasing adaptive capacity so as to reduce vulnerability.
Keywords: Vulnerability, exposure, sensitivity, adaptive capacity
Climate change refers to “a change in the state of
climate that can be identified by changes in mean
and/ or variability of its properties, and that persists
for an extended period, typically decades or longer”
(IPCC, 2007a). In recent years, it has become one of
the major environmental threads faced by the world
today (Ojwang et al. 2010). The global temperature
has increased by 0.74
o
C in 100 years during 1906-
2005 wherein the trend is faster in the last 50 years
which is at the rate of 0.13
o
C (almost twice the per
decade rise in temperature in the last 100 years.
Rainfall has been erratic; there was significant
increase in the amount of rainfall in eastern part
of North and South America, northern Europe and
northern and central Asia. While, the area around
the Mediterranean, the Sahel, southern Africa and
southern Asia experienced a decrease in rainfall
(IPCC, 2007a; IPCC, 2007b). In India, over the period
from 1901-2009, the annual mean temperature has
been increased by 0.56
o
C and based on period
1961-1990, the annual mean temperature has been
above normal since 1990 (IMD, 2009). While the
temperature has increased, there was declining
trend in kharif rainfall by 22 mm during 1969-2005
in India and in the past 100 years, the moderate
rainfall and number of wet days has been declined.
(Rupa et al. 2006).
The change in the climatic variability is a great
challenge for the human livelihood. This adverse
effect will be more towards poor and vulnerable
section of the society because they mostly reside in
areas of high exposure and also have low adaptive
capacity to cope with the changing climate (World
Bank, 2010). Hence, vulnerability is the key concern
of climate change. Vulnerability is “the degree to
which a system is susceptible to, or unable to cope
with, adverse effects of climate change including
climate variability and extremes” (IPCC, 2001). The
recent studies linked vulnerability with adaptive
capacity as it is not only a characteristic of hazard
but also a property of human-environment system
(Vincent and Cull, 2010; Viscent, 2004; Adger and
Kelly, 1999). There are different approaches of
vulnerability vizbiophysical and social vulnerability.
Biophysical vulnerability is related with exposure
and sensitivity of natural environment to climate
change but this approach has less implication
on policy making as it totally neglects the social
system. While, the other approach i.e ., social
vulnerability relates vulnerability with the social
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